TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has a slight edge over WH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WH

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.

49
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

WH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

WH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

WH's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

WH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$78.93—
Cheap19x$51.65-35%
Fair24x$64.08-19%
Current29x$78.93—
Expensive33x$90.42+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WH has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

WH has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$93.79
Downside-23%$60.54

Calculated from the latest close: $78.93 on Nov 12.

WH trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

WH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.41Q1 2024: $2.83Q2 2024: $3.08Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.61Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.26Q3 2025: $4.33Q4 2025: $2.50Q1 2026: $2.52Q2 2026: $2.75Q3 2026: $2.72Forward: $5.11
Q4 2023: $3.41Q1 2024: $2.83Q2 2024: $3.08Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.61Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.26Q3 2025: $4.33Q4 2025: $2.50Q1 2026: $2.52Q2 2026: $2.75Q3 2026: $2.72Forward: $5.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.11+88%
Q3 2026$2.72-37%
Q2 2026$2.75-35%
Q1 2026$2.52-40%
Q4 2025$2.50-31%
Q3 2025$4.33+37%
Q2 2025$4.26+38%
Q1 2025$4.20+48%
Q4 2024$3.61+5.9%

WH has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

WH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: $367MQ3 2024: $396MQ4 2024: $337MQ1 2025: $316MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $382MQ4 2025: $334MQ1 2026: $327MQ2 2026: $375MQ3 2026: $410M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: $367MQ3 2024: $396MQ4 2024: $337MQ1 2025: $316MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $382MQ4 2025: $334MQ1 2026: $327MQ2 2026: $375MQ3 2026: $410M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$410M+7.3%
Q2 2026$375M-5.5%
Q1 2026$327M+3.5%
Q4 2025$334M-0.9%
Q3 2025$382M-3.5%
Q2 2025$397M+8.2%
Q1 2025$316M+3.6%
Q4 2024$337M+9.4%

WH has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

WH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82M+9.3%
Q2 2026$77M+33%
Q1 2026$35M-33%
Q4 2025$136M+25%
Q3 2025$75M+5.6%
Q2 2025$58M+$64M
Q1 2025$52M-22%
Q4 2024$109M-4.4%

WH has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

WH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 74M
Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-900K shares
1 year-3.4%-2.6M shares
3 years-12%-10.2M shares
5 years-21%-19.8M shares
Available history-22%-20.7M shares

WH has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over WH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 5.5x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 5.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.5xHigh
Q2 20265.3xHigh
Q1 20265.5xHigh
Q4 20255.4xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20254.0xHigh
Q1 20254.0xElevated
Q4 20244.2xHigh

WH's net debt is about 5.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.0 years a year ago.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

WH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.1Neutral
Stochastic72.0Neutral

WH's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

WH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWHSector medianRelative
PE29x18x61% above
PE %704723 pts above

WH has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over WH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$74.46.1% above
20 week MA$74.46.1% above
50 week MA$77.71.6% above
100 week MA$82.94.8% below
200 week MA$79.50.7% below

WH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 0.7% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

WH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.2$56.3-11%
2021$56.3$88.3+57%
2022$88.3$70.2-21%
2023$70.2$80.4+15%
2024$80.4$101.7+26%
2025$101.7$76.7-25%
2026 YTD$76.7$78.9+3%

WH has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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