TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over WGO overall, supported by stronger valuation.
WGO
Winnebago Industries, Inc.
WGO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
WGO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
WGO's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
WGO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6x | $7.31 | -76% |
| Fair | 15x | $18.48 | -40% |
| Forward | 16x | $31.04 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $31.82 | +2.5% |
| Current | 26x | $31.04 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WGO has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
WGO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect WGO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
WGO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.98 | +63% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.21 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.36 | +$1.81 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.47 | +$1.58 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.28 | +$1.80 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.91 | +107% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.45 | -117% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.11 | -103% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.52 | -110% |
WGO has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over WGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
WGO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $645.1M | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $698.7M | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $657.4M | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $702.7M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $777.3M | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $775.1M | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $620.2M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $625.6M | -18% |
WGO's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $645M last quarter, down 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6% | +5.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9% | -1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1% | -5.3 points |
WGO has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
WGO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $135.2M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.7M | +$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$29.1M | -$10.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.8M | +$46.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $171.2M | +480% |
| Q2 2025 | -$36.1M | -141% |
| Q1 2025 | -$18.9M | -233% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.7M | +$6.5M |
WGO has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
WGO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -7M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -5.7M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -3.9M shares |
WGO has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $100,000 |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $20M |
| Q4 2024 | $33.6M |
WGO spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 97% from the year before.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over WGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WGO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
WGO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
WGO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.5 | Neutral |
WGO's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
WGO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WGO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 42% above |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
WGO has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over WGO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
WGO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $27.8 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $29.3 | 5.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $33.8 | 8.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $35.1 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $48.6 | 36% below |
WGO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 36% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over WGO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
WGO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.2 | $65.3 | +23% |
| 2021 | $65.3 | $71.2 | +8.9% |
| 2022 | $71.2 | $53.3 | -25% |
| 2023 | $53.3 | $72.9 | +37% |
| 2024 | $72.9 | $46.9 | -36% |
| 2025 | $46.9 | $41.9 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.9 | $31.0 | -26% |
WGO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 26% so far in 2026.