TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VSXY

Victoria's Secret & Company

60
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

VSXY has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

VSXY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

VSXY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

VSXY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$30.32-71%
Fair14x$60.95-42%
Forward20x$105—
Current23x$105—
Expensive24x$108+3.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VSXY has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VSXY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

VSXY has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails VSXY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VSXY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$178.92
Downside-28%$75.58

Calculated from the latest close: $104.63 on Nov 12.

VSXY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

VSXY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.24+17%
Q3 2026$4.49+139%
Q2 2026$2.51+21%
Q1 2026$1.93-5.9%
Q4 2025$2.13+8.7%
Q3 2025$1.88+7.4%
Q2 2025$2.08+56%
Q1 2025$2.05+47%
Q4 2024$1.96+69%

VSXY has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

VSXY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+10%
Q2 2026$1.6B+15%
Q1 2026$2.3B+7.7%
Q4 2025$1.5B+9.3%
Q3 2025$1.5B+3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-0.4%
Q1 2025$2.1B+1.1%
Q4 2024$1.3B+6.5%

VSXY has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

VSXY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$328M+273%
Q2 2026-$191M+$2M
Q1 2026$649M+0.5%
Q4 2025-$232M+$67M
Q3 2025$88M+60%
Q2 2025-$193M-$38M
Q1 2025$646M+16%
Q4 2024-$299M-$38M

VSXY has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over VSXY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VSXY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1M shares
1 year+2.4%+2M shares
3 years+9.1%+7M shares
5 years-4.9%-4.4M shares

VSXY has 84M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over VSXY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VSXY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

VSXY's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

VSXY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic83.0Overbought

VSXY's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

VSXY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVSXYSector medianRelative
PE23x18x29% above
PE %825527 pts above

VSXY has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

VSXY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$93.112% above
20 week MA$87.220% above
50 week MA$69.251% above
100 week MA$47.9119% above
200 week MA$36.4188% above

VSXY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 188% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

VSXY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$42.1$49.1+17%
2022$49.1$40.4-18%
2023$40.4$26.5-34%
2024$26.5$42.3+59%
2025$42.3$53.8+27%
2026 YTD$53.8$104.6+94%

VSXY has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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