TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VNCE
Vince Holding Corp.
VNCE has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
VNCE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
VNCE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA has the edge over VNCE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VNCE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 1.2x | $0.70 | -95% |
| Fair | 8.6x | $4.91 | -62% |
| Expensive | 22x | $12.74 | -1.3% |
| Current | 23x | $12.91 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VNCE's PE is in its expensive range at 23x.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VNCE Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for VNCE to show an outlook.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
VNCE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.57 | +$1.92 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.70 | +$2.93 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.49 | +$2.00 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.48 | -500% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.35 | -1327% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.23 | -192% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.51 | -174% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.37 | -76% |
VNCE has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
VNCE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.8M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $64M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $83.7M | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.1M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $73.2M | -1.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $57.9M | -2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $80M | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.2M | -4.7% |
VNCE has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -4.1% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5% | +34 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.4% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +14 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.7% | -17 points |
| Q1 2025 | -37% | -35 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2% | +3.8 points |
VNCE has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
VNCE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.4M | +730% |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.1M | +$4.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | -27% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.7M | -211% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1M | +$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.2M | -$8.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $21.2M | +49% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1M | -21% |
VNCE has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has the edge over VNCE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
VNCE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.7% | +343K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +231K shares |
| 3 years | +5.7% | +710K shares |
| 5 years | +11% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +10% | +1.2M shares |
VNCE has 13M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over VNCE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VNCE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 1.7x | Healthy |
VNCE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
VNCE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.2 | Overbought |
VNCE's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
VNCE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VNCE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 26% above |
| PE % | 85 | 47 | 38 pts above |
VNCE has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.
VNCE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.8 | 9.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.76 | 47% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.72 | 126% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.03 | 220% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.58 | 261% above |
VNCE is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 261% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.
VNCE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.7 | $5.26 | -70% |
| 2021 | $5.26 | $8.50 | +62% |
| 2022 | $8.50 | $7.72 | -9.2% |
| 2023 | $7.72 | $3.46 | -55% |
| 2024 | $3.46 | $4.02 | +16% |
| 2025 | $4.02 | $4.39 | +9.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.39 | $12.9 | +194% |
VNCE has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.