TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has a slight edge over VIRC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

VIRC

Virco Mfg. Corporation

49
Fundamentals30/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIRC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

VIRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Healthy
Strong

VIRC's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is weak.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

VIRC PE Valuation

VIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIRC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for VIRC to show an outlook.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails VIRC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$7.91
Downside-19%$5.12

Calculated from the latest close: $6.36 on Nov 12.

VIRC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over VIRC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VIRC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.56Q3 2024: $1.65Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.17
Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.56Q3 2024: $1.65Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.17-120%
Q2 2026-$0.07-106%
Q1 2026$0.16-88%
Q4 2025$0.25-84%
Q3 2025$0.85-48%
Q2 2025$1.24-21%
Q1 2025$1.32-1.5%
Q4 2024$1.55-11%

VIRC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.17 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over VIRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIRC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $87M
Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $87M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$87.5M-5%
Q2 2026$30.7M-9.1%
Q1 2026$26.2M-8%
Q4 2025$47.6M-42%
Q3 2025$92.1M-15%
Q2 2025$33.8M-28%
Q1 2025$28.5M-33%
Q4 2024$82.6M-1.9%

VIRC's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $87M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over VIRC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIRC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.9M+224%
Q2 2026-$10.1M+$11.4M
Q1 2026-$11.6M-$2.4M
Q4 2025$24.5M-21%
Q3 2025$1.8M-83%
Q2 2025-$21.5M-$15.9M
Q1 2025-$9.2M-328%
Q4 2024$31M-26%

VIRC has burned cash in most quarters: $9M over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VIRC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5K shares
1 year0%-6K shares
3 years-3.4%-557K shares
5 years-1.2%-192K shares
Available history+0.2%+27K shares

VIRC has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

VIRC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

VIRC has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

VIRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic36.6Neutral

VIRC's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

VIRC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIRCSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

VIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over VIRC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VIRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.380.3% below
20 week MA$6.241.9% above
50 week MA$6.271.4% above
100 week MA$7.5416% below
200 week MA$8.4425% below

VIRC's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 25% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

VIRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.38$2.51-43%
2021$2.51$3.02+20%
2022$3.02$4.30+42%
2023$4.30$12.0+180%
2024$12.0$10.6-12%
2025$10.6$6.43-39%
2026 YTD$6.43$6.36-1.1%

VIRC has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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