TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VIPS

Vipshop Holdings Limited

52
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIPS has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

VIPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

VIPS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

VIPS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current4.1x$12.94—
Cheap6.8x$21.18+64%
Fair9.1x$28.63+121%
Expensive18x$57.81+347%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIPS has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VIPS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails VIPS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$16.03
Downside-19%$10.46

Calculated from the latest close: $12.94 on Nov 12.

VIPS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

VIPS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.13+57%
Q1 2026$2.24+7.7%
Q4 2025$2.13-0.9%
Q3 2025$2.06-8.4%
Q2 2025$1.99-13%
Q1 2025$2.08-10%
Q4 2024$2.15-0.9%
Q3 2024$2.25+18%

VIPS has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over VIPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.7B-3.9%
Q1 2026$4B+0.6%
Q4 2025$4.9B-2.3%
Q3 2025$3.2B+3.4%
Q2 2025$3.9B-4%
Q1 2025$3.9B-5%
Q4 2024$5B-4.2%
Q3 2024$3.1B-9.2%

VIPS's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over VIPS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

VIPS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since mid-2020: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VIPS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-4.6M shares
1 year-4.6%-23.7M shares
3 years-13%-71M shares
5 years-30%-213M shares
Available history-28%-187M shares

VIPS has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

VIPS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash

VIPS has more cash than debt.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

VIPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

VIPS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

VIPS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIPSSector medianRelative
PE4.1x18x77% below
PE %14746 pts below

VIPS has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over VIPS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VIPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.80.8% above
20 week MA$13.54.1% below
50 week MA$15.114% below
100 week MA$15.516% below
200 week MA$15.416% below

VIPS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 16% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over VIPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VIPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$26.3+81%
2021$26.3$8.46-68%
2022$8.46$13.5+59%
2023$13.5$17.8+32%
2024$17.8$13.3-25%
2025$13.3$19.5+46%
2026 YTD$19.5$12.9-34%

VIPS is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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