TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VIK

Viking Holdings Ltd

64
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIK has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

VIK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable
Healthy

VIK's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

VIK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x104x139x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x104x139x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$88.88—
Current29x$88.88—
Cheap31x$92.52+4.1%
Fair34x$102+15%
Expensive46x$139+56%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIK has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

VIK has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails VIK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$111.31
Downside-19%$72.42

Calculated from the latest close: $88.88 on Nov 12.

VIK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

VIK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.48Q4 2023: $-4.31Q1 2024: $-6.04Q2 2024: $-6.11Q3 2024: $-2.38Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $2.69Q2 2026: $3.02Forward: $4.00
Q3 2023: $-2.48Q4 2023: $-4.31Q1 2024: $-6.04Q2 2024: $-6.11Q3 2024: $-2.38Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $2.69Q2 2026: $3.02Forward: $4.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.00+33%
Q2 2026$3.02+63%
Q1 2026$2.69+119%
Q4 2025$2.57+$3.33
Q3 2025$2.14+$4.52
Q2 2025$1.85+$7.96
Q1 2025$1.23+$7.27
Q4 2024-$0.76+$3.55
Q3 2024-$2.38+$0.10

VIK has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

VIK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $2.2B
Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.2B+16%
Q1 2026$1.1B+17%
Q4 2025$1.7B+28%
Q3 2025$2B+19%
Q2 2025$1.9B+18%
Q1 2025$897.1M+25%
Q4 2024$1.3B+21%
Q3 2024$1.7B+11%

VIK has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 34% versus its history, compared with VIK at down 68%.

VIK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $263MQ3 2024: $715MQ4 2024: −$180MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: −$397M
Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $263MQ3 2024: $715MQ4 2024: −$180MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: −$397M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2024-$179.9M-2765%
Q3 2024$714.5M+81%
Q2 2024$262.9M+196%
Q1 2024$367M+269%
Q4 2023$6.8M+$150.2M

VIK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$397M, but it generated $289M over the past year.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over VIK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VIK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 431MQ4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 222MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 440MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 446MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 446MQ1 2026: 446MQ2 2026: 448M
Q3 2023: 431MQ4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 222MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 440MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 446MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 446MQ1 2026: 446MQ2 2026: 448M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+2.2M shares
1 year+0.6%+2.5M shares
3 years+3.9%+16.6M shares

VIK has 448M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over VIK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VIK Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.1x
Q3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 20244.0xElevated
Q3 202421.7xHigh

VIK's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

VIK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

VIK's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

VIK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIKSector medianRelative
PE29x18x63% above
PE %102414 pts below

VIK has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has stronger trend alignment. TSLA is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus VIK above 3 of 4.

VIK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.05.8% above
20 week MA$90.72% below
50 week MA$83.26.8% above
100 week MA$67.532% above

VIK's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 32% above its 100-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

VIK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$29.0$44.4+53%
2025$44.4$73.3+65%
2026 YTD$73.3$88.9+21%

VIK has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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