TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

URBN

Urban Outfitters, Inc.

65
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

URBN has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

URBN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

URBN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

URBN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1026x2053x3079x4106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1026x2053x3079x4106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$64.55-24%
Fair13x$85.87+1.3%
Current13x$84.80—
Forward13x$84.80—
Expensive16x$102+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

URBN has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

URBN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for URBN, with profitability improving.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails URBN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

URBN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$115.70
Downside-19%$68.75

Calculated from the latest close: $84.80 on Nov 12.

URBN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

URBN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.87Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $5.11Q4 2025: $5.29Q1 2026: $5.06Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $6.40Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $2.87Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $5.11Q4 2025: $5.29Q1 2026: $5.06Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $6.40Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+3.6%
Q3 2026$6.40+25%
Q2 2026$5.20+9%
Q1 2026$5.06+19%
Q4 2025$5.29+51%
Q3 2025$5.11+56%
Q2 2025$4.77+52%
Q1 2025$4.26+40%
Q4 2024$3.50+22%

URBN has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

URBN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+10%
Q2 2026$1.5B+11%
Q1 2026$1.8B+10%
Q4 2025$1.5B+12%
Q3 2025$1.5B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+11%
Q1 2025$1.6B+10%
Q4 2024$1.4B+6.3%

URBN has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

URBN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: −$178MQ3 2026: $301M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: −$178MQ3 2026: $301M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$301.4M+92%
Q2 2026-$177.8M-$164.6M
Q1 2026$194.3M-31%
Q4 2025-$22.8M+$3.9M
Q3 2025$156.6M+230%
Q2 2025-$13.1M-175%
Q1 2025$281.9M+56%
Q4 2024-$26.7M-$23.1M

URBN has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

URBN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 89MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 89MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-2.1M shares
1 year-4.9%-4.5M shares
3 years-8%-7.6M shares
5 years-13%-12.9M shares
Available history-12%-12M shares

URBN has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over URBN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

URBN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

URBN has more cash than debt.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

URBN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.4Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

URBN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

URBN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricURBNSector medianRelative
PE13x18x26% below
PE %4747Same percentile

URBN has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

URBN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.01% above
20 week MA$78.77.8% above
50 week MA$74.314% above
100 week MA$68.723% above
200 week MA$52.562% above

URBN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 62% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

URBN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.8$26.8-3.6%
2021$26.8$29.1+8.8%
2022$29.1$24.1-17%
2023$24.1$35.7+48%
2024$35.7$55.8+56%
2025$55.8$77.1+38%
2026 YTD$77.1$84.8+10%

URBN has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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