TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.

60
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential17/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

UBER has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

UBER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

UBER PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$26.01-62%
Fair17x$29.70-57%
Forward17x$69.12—
Current40x$69.12—
Expensive93x$160+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UBER has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UBER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

UBER has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UBER, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UBER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.80
Downside-49%$35.31

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

UBER trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

UBER Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.07+138%
Q3 2026$1.71-78%
Q2 2026$4.57-22%
Q1 2026$4.03-29%
Q4 2025$4.73+3.7%
Q3 2025$7.78+285%
Q2 2025$5.87+538%
Q1 2025$5.71+806%
Q4 2024$4.56+424%

UBER has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

UBER Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.8B+9.6%
Q2 2026$14.2B+12%
Q1 2026$13.2B+14%
Q4 2025$14.4B+20%
Q3 2025$13.5B+20%
Q2 2025$12.7B+18%
Q1 2025$11.5B+14%
Q4 2024$12B+20%

UBER has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

UBER Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+14%
Q2 2026$2.8B+13%
Q1 2026$2.3B+1.6%
Q4 2025$2.8B+65%
Q3 2025$2.2B+5.7%
Q2 2025$2.5B+44%
Q1 2025$2.3B+66%
Q4 2024$1.7B+122%

UBER has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UBER Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+99K shares
1 year-3.5%-74.1M shares
3 years-2.8%-58.2M shares
5 years+8%+151M shares
Available history+19%+326M shares

UBER has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over UBER on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UBER Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

UBER's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

UBER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

UBER PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUBERSector medianRelative
PE40x28x45% above
PE %683533 pts above

UBER has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over UBER on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UBER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$68.70.7% above
20 week MA$71.73.6% below
50 week MA$74.47.1% below
100 week MA$78.912% below
200 week MA$67.91.8% above

UBER's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.8% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

UBER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.2$52.9+75%
2021$52.9$43.9-17%
2022$43.9$24.6-44%
2023$24.6$61.6+150%
2024$61.6$61.1-0.7%
2025$61.1$81.3+33%
2026 YTD$81.3$69.1-15%

UBER has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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