TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over UAA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

UAA

Under Armour, Inc.

44
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

UAA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

UAA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

UAA's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

UAA PE Valuation

UAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 44x next year's earnings.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UAA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UAA to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails UAA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UAA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$7.13
Downside-31%$3.36

Calculated from the latest close: $4.90 on Nov 12.

UAA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over UAA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

UAA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.15Q3 2026: $-1.11Forward: $0.11
Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.15Q3 2026: $-1.11Forward: $0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.11—
Q3 2026-$1.11-$0.90
Q2 2026-$1.15-623%
Q1 2026-$1.16-$0.69
Q4 2025-$1.22-$0.93
Q3 2025-$0.21-$0.18
Q2 2025$0.22+$0.40
Q1 2025-$0.47-187%
Q4 2024-$0.29-133%

UAA is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.11 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2020.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over UAA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UAA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-6.9%
Q2 2026$1.1B-3.2%
Q1 2026$1.2B-0.8%
Q4 2025$1.3B-5.2%
Q3 2025$1.3B-4.7%
Q2 2025$1.1B-4.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-11%
Q4 2024$1.4B-5.7%

UAA's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over UAA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

UAA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: −$157MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: −$367MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: −$231MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: $262MQ1 2026: −$347MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: −$102M
Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: −$157MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: −$367MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: −$231MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: $262MQ1 2026: −$347MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: −$102M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$101.7M-$11.4M
Q2 2026$94.5M+601%
Q1 2026-$347.3M-$116.3M
Q4 2025$261.9M-0.4%
Q3 2025-$90.3M+$276.9M
Q2 2025$13.5M-87%
Q1 2025-$231M-$74.3M
Q4 2024$262.9M-31%

UAA's free cash flow was −$93M over the past year, against −$45M the year before.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UAA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 448MQ1 2024: 451MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 432MQ2 2025: 427MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 425MQ1 2026: 427MQ2 2026: 432MQ3 2026: 430M
Q4 2023: 448MQ1 2024: 451MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 432MQ2 2025: 427MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 425MQ1 2026: 427MQ2 2026: 432MQ3 2026: 430M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2.3M shares
1 year+0.3%+1.3M shares
3 years-5.3%-24M shares
5 years-9.2%-43.4M shares
Available history-5.4%-24.6M shares

UAA has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

UAA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -5.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -8.2xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 9.0x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -5.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -8.2xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 9.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20259.0xHigh
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q4 2024-8.2xNet Cash
Q3 20240.8xVery low
Q2 2024-5.6xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 20230.1xVery low

UAA's net debt is about 9.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

UAA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.7Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

UAA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

UAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricUAASector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

UAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over UAA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UAA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.831.4% above
20 week MA$5.5211% below
50 week MA$5.8016% below
100 week MA$6.0219% below
200 week MA$7.0430% below

UAA has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 30% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

UAA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.5$17.4-19%
2021$17.4$20.6+18%
2022$20.6$9.77-53%
2023$9.77$8.79-10%
2024$8.79$8.38-4.7%
2025$8.38$4.65-45%
2026 YTD$4.65$4.90+5.4%

UAA has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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