TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TXRH

Texas Roadhouse, Inc.

55
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

TXRH has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TXRH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

TXRH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TXRH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$158-15%
Fair28x$177-4.7%
Current29x$186—
Expensive34x$219+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TXRH has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TXRH Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TXRH to show an outlook.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails TXRH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TXRH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$223.99
Downside-17%$153.77

Calculated from the latest close: $185.99 on Nov 12.

TXRH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

TXRH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.54Q1 2024: $4.95Q2 2024: $5.52Q3 2024: $5.83Q4 2024: $6.47Q2 2025: $6.48Q3 2025: $6.55Q3 2025: $6.54Q4 2025: $6.10Q1 2026: $6.27Q2 2026: $6.26Q3 2026: $6.37
Q4 2023: $4.54Q1 2024: $4.95Q2 2024: $5.52Q3 2024: $5.83Q4 2024: $6.47Q2 2025: $6.48Q3 2025: $6.55Q3 2025: $6.54Q4 2025: $6.10Q1 2026: $6.27Q2 2026: $6.26Q3 2026: $6.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$6.37-2.6%
Q2 2026$6.26-4.4%
Q1 2026$6.27-3.2%
Q4 2025$6.10-5.7%
Q3 2025$6.54+12%
Q2 2025$6.55+19%
Q1 2025$6.48+31%
Q4 2024$6.47+43%

TXRH has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

TXRH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+9.5%
Q2 2026$1.7B+11%
Q1 2026$1.6B+13%
Q4 2025$1.5B+3.1%
Q3 2025$1.4B+13%
Q2 2025$1.5B+13%
Q1 2025$1.4B+9.6%
Q4 2024$1.4B+23%

TXRH has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

TXRH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $130MQ2 2025: $160MQ3 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $131MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $130MQ2 2025: $160MQ3 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $131MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.1M-25%
Q2 2026$81.5M+128%
Q1 2026$178.9M+12%
Q4 2025$131.3M+1.2%
Q3 2025$14.7M-69%
Q2 2025$35.7M-36%
Q1 2025$160.4M-3.3%
Q4 2024$129.7M+82%

TXRH has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TXRH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-135K shares
1 year-1%-691K shares
3 years-1.8%-1.2M shares
5 years-6.2%-4.4M shares
Available history-7.2%-5.1M shares

TXRH has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over TXRH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TXRH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

TXRH has more cash than debt.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

TXRH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.0Neutral
Stochastic47.9Neutral

TXRH's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

TXRH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTXRHSector medianRelative
PE29x18x62% above
PE %584711 pts above

TXRH has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

TXRH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$170.59.1% above
20 week MA$185.00.5% above
50 week MA$178.94% above
100 week MA$177.44.8% above
200 week MA$156.419% above

TXRH is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

TXRH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.0$80.0+45%
2021$80.0$88.8+11%
2022$88.8$96.3+8.5%
2023$96.3$122.2+27%
2024$122.2$181.9+49%
2025$181.9$170.8-6.1%
2026 YTD$170.8$186.0+8.9%

TXRH has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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