TRS

TriMas Corporation

68
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation95/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

TRS has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

TRS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TRS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current1.6x$37.62—
Cheap12x$286+661%
Forward19x$37.62—
Fair21x$504+1238%
Expensive33x$795+2012%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRS has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect TRS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$51.17
Downside-23%$29.05

Calculated from the latest close: $37.62 on Nov 12.

TRS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails TRS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TRS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.22Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $0.64Q4 2024: $0.59Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $24.07Q2 2026: $24.03Forward: $2.03
Q3 2023: $1.22Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $0.64Q4 2024: $0.59Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $24.07Q2 2026: $24.03Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03-92%
Q2 2026$24.03+2541%
Q1 2026$24.07+3026%
Q4 2025$2.97+403%
Q3 2025$1.08+69%
Q2 2025$0.91-7.1%
Q1 2025$0.77-21%
Q4 2024$0.59-39%
Q3 2024$0.64-48%

TRS has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

TRS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $235MQ4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $228MQ1 2025: $242MQ2 2025: $275MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $168MQ2 2026: $175M
Q3 2023: $235MQ4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $228MQ1 2025: $242MQ2 2025: $275MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $168MQ2 2026: $175M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$174.6M-36%
Q1 2026$168.3M-30%
Q4 2025$155.5M-32%
Q3 2025$269.3M+17%
Q2 2025$274.8M+14%
Q1 2025$241.7M+6.4%
Q4 2024$228.1M+8.8%
Q3 2024$229.4M-2.5%

TRS has the edge over TSLA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

TRS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$45M
Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$45M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$45M-440%
Q1 2026-$24.6M-$20.9M
Q4 2025$36.8M+204%
Q3 2025$22.8M+125%
Q2 2025$13.2M+76%
Q1 2025-$3.8M+$13.2M
Q4 2024$12.1M+6.7%
Q3 2024$10.2M-52%

TRS's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$10M over the past year.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over TRS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TRS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 42MQ4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 36M
Q3 2023: 42MQ4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.2%-1.2M shares
1 year-12%-4.7M shares
3 years-13%-5.4M shares
5 years-16%-7.1M shares
Available history-20%-9.2M shares

TRS has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TRS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: -11.5xQ2 2026: -14.4x
Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: -11.5xQ2 2026: -14.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-14.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-11.5xNet Cash
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated
Q3 20243.6xElevated

TRS has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

TRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

TRS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

TRS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTRSSector medianRelative
PE1.6x18x91% below
PE %04747 pts below

TRS has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

TRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.62.6% below
20 week MA$39.44.4% below
50 week MA$38.21.5% below
100 week MA$33.612% above
200 week MA$29.926% above

TRS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 26% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over TRS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.2$32.0+2.6%
2021$32.0$34.8+8.5%
2022$34.8$27.8-20%
2023$27.8$25.3-8.7%
2024$25.3$24.6-3%
2025$24.6$36.1+47%
2026 YTD$36.1$37.6+4.1%

TRS has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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