TREX

Trex Company, Inc.

61
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

TREX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over TREX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

TREX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

TREX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

TREX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$45.26-14%
Forward26x$52.81—
Current31x$52.81—
Fair35x$60.14+14%
Expensive54x$93.43+77%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TREX's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT has the edge over TREX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TREX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TREX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

TREX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$67.52
Downside-23%$40.70

Calculated from the latest close: $52.81 on Nov 12.

TREX trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TREX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TREX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.89Q1 2024: $2.33Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $2.19Q4 2024: $2.09Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.85Q4 2025: $1.78Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.69Q3 2026: $1.73Forward: $2.04
Q4 2023: $1.89Q1 2024: $2.33Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $2.19Q4 2024: $2.09Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.85Q4 2025: $1.78Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.69Q3 2026: $1.73Forward: $2.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.04+18%
Q3 2026$1.73-6.5%
Q2 2026$1.69-2.9%
Q1 2026$1.80-1.6%
Q4 2025$1.78-15%
Q3 2025$1.85-16%
Q2 2025$1.74-28%
Q1 2025$1.83-21%
Q4 2024$2.09+11%

TREX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.73 over the past year, against $2.42 in mid-2024.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over TREX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TREX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $374MQ2 2024: $376MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $340MQ2 2025: $388MQ3 2025: $285MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $360M
Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $374MQ2 2024: $376MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $340MQ2 2025: $388MQ3 2025: $285MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $360M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$359.5M+26%
Q2 2026$418M+7.8%
Q1 2026$343.4M+1%
Q4 2025$161.1M-3.9%
Q3 2025$285.3M+22%
Q2 2025$387.8M+3%
Q1 2025$340M-9%
Q4 2024$167.6M-14%

TREX's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $360M last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over TREX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TREX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$212MQ2 2024: $158MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: −$89MQ1 2025: −$233MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $143MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: −$142MQ2 2026: $185MQ3 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$212MQ2 2024: $158MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: −$89MQ1 2025: −$233MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $143MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: −$142MQ2 2026: $185MQ3 2026: $136M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$136M-4.9%
Q2 2026$184.5M-9.1%
Q1 2026-$141.5M+$92M
Q4 2025$22.1M+$111.4M
Q3 2025$142.9M+162%
Q2 2025$203M+28%
Q1 2025-$233.5M-$21.7M
Q4 2024-$89.3M-286%

TREX still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $201M over the past year.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over TREX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TREX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-558K shares
1 year-5.1%-5.5M shares
3 years-6.3%-6.9M shares
5 years-12%-13.8M shares
Available history-13%-15.2M shares

TREX has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TREX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20240.6xVery low

TREX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over TREX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TREX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.3Neutral
Stochastic74.3Neutral

TREX's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

TREX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTREXSector medianRelative
PE31x24x27% above
PE %355823 pts below

TREX has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

TREX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.58.9% above
20 week MA$47.012% above
50 week MA$42.823% above
100 week MA$50.44.9% above
200 week MA$60.312% below

TREX has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

TREX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.2$86.3+91%
2021$86.3$132.8+54%
2022$132.8$41.9-68%
2023$41.9$82.8+98%
2024$82.8$70.3-15%
2025$70.3$35.7-49%
2026 YTD$35.7$52.8+48%

TREX has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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