TPL

Texas Pacific Land Corporation

72
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

TPL's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 33x earnings, below its usual 41x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

TPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

TPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

TPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$207-26%
Forward28x$281—
Current33x$281—
Fair41x$347+23%
Expensive58x$494+76%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TPL's PE is in its fair range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TPL, with profitability holding steady.

TPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$441.53
Downside-19%$226.94

Calculated from the latest close: $281.18 on Nov 12.

TPL's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +57% against −19%.

TPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.86Q1 2024: $6.27Q2 2024: $6.48Q3 2024: $6.50Q4 2024: $6.57Q1 2025: $6.66Q2 2025: $6.69Q3 2025: $6.90Q4 2025: $6.97Q1 2026: $7.29Q2 2026: $7.84Q3 2026: $8.50Forward: $10.15
Q4 2023: $5.86Q1 2024: $6.27Q2 2024: $6.48Q3 2024: $6.50Q4 2024: $6.57Q1 2025: $6.66Q2 2025: $6.69Q3 2025: $6.90Q4 2025: $6.97Q1 2026: $7.29Q2 2026: $7.84Q3 2026: $8.50Forward: $10.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.15+19%
Q3 2026$8.50+23%
Q2 2026$7.84+17%
Q1 2026$7.29+9.5%
Q4 2025$6.97+6.1%
Q3 2025$6.90+6.2%
Q2 2025$6.69+3.2%
Q1 2025$6.66+6.2%
Q4 2024$6.57+12%

TPL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $8.50 over the past year, up 23% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

TPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $174MQ4 2024: $186MQ1 2025: $196MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: $237MQ2 2026: $246MQ3 2026: $273M
Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $174MQ4 2024: $186MQ1 2025: $196MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: $237MQ2 2026: $246MQ3 2026: $273M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$273.4M+35%
Q2 2026$246.1M+31%
Q1 2026$236.8M+21%
Q4 2025$211.6M+14%
Q3 2025$203.1M+17%
Q2 2025$187.5M+8.8%
Q1 2025$196M+13%
Q4 2024$185.8M+11%

TPL's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $273M last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

TPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: $147MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $119MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $121MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $192M
Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: $147MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $119MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $121MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $192M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$192.4M+24%
Q2 2026$172.9M+43%
Q1 2026$162M+3.4%
Q4 2025$113.7M-10%
Q3 2025$154.6M+30%
Q2 2025$120.9M+23%
Q1 2025$156.7M+6.4%
Q4 2024$126.6M+14%

TPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $641M over the past year, up 15% from the year before.

TPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 69MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 69MQ2 2026: 69MQ3 2026: 69M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 69MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 69MQ2 2026: 69MQ3 2026: 69M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1.8K shares
1 year0%+5.6K shares
3 years-0.1%-99.6K shares
5 years-1%-726K shares
Available history-1.1%-769K shares

TPL has 69M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

TPL has more cash than debt.

TPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.6Neutral
Stochastic8.0Oversold

TPL's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TPL PE vs Energy Sector

MetricTPLSector medianRelative
PE33x13x152% above
PE %336128 pts below

TPL is trading at 33x earnings, a 152% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

TPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$327.114% below
20 week MA$359.522% below
50 week MA$383.227% below
100 week MA$378.626% below
200 week MA$301.86.8% below

TPL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.8% below its 200-week average.

TPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.3$76.9-13%
2021$76.9$137.7+79%
2022$137.7$278.8+102%
2023$278.8$174.7-37%
2024$174.7$381.7+118%
2025$381.7$287.5-25%
2026 YTD$287.5$281.2-2.2%

TPL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.2% so far in 2026.

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