TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over ZG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ZG

Zillow Group, Inc. Class A

47
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

ZG offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ZG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ZG's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

ZG PE Valuation

ZG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over ZG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ZG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ZG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ZG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$40.43
Downside-27%$21.12

Calculated from the latest close: $29.11 on Nov 12.

ZG trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over ZG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ZG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $-0.61Q3 2024: $-0.57Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $2.11
Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $-0.61Q3 2024: $-0.57Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $2.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.11—
Q3 2026-$0.52-$0.37
Q2 2026$0.22+$0.49
Q1 2026$0.25+$0.60
Q4 2025$0.09+$0.57
Q3 2025-$0.15+$0.42
Q2 2025-$0.27+$0.34
Q1 2025-$0.35+$0.34
Q4 2024-$0.48+$0.20

ZG is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.52 per share over the past year, against $2.26 at its worst in mid-2022.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $529MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $581MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $598MQ2 2025: $655MQ3 2025: $676MQ4 2025: $654MQ1 2026: $708MQ2 2026: $772MQ3 2026: $724M
Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $529MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $581MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $598MQ2 2025: $655MQ3 2025: $676MQ4 2025: $654MQ1 2026: $708MQ2 2026: $772MQ3 2026: $724M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$724M+7.1%
Q2 2026$772M+18%
Q1 2026$708M+18%
Q4 2025$654M+18%
Q3 2025$676M+16%
Q2 2025$655M+15%
Q1 2025$598M+13%
Q4 2024$554M+17%

ZG has the edge over TMUS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS generated $18.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 8.8% from the year before.

ZG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$128M+75%
Q2 2026-$25M-150%
Q1 2026$166M+144%
Q4 2025$44M-50%
Q3 2025$73M-47%
Q2 2025$50M+178%
Q1 2025$68M+66%
Q4 2024$88M+69%

ZG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $313M over the past year.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has 1.1B diluted shares, down 4.9% from a year ago, with $12B in buybacks over the past year.

ZG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 235MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 234MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 252MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 240MQ2 2026: 228MQ3 2026: 225M
Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 235MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 234MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 252MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 240MQ2 2026: 228MQ3 2026: 225M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-2.6M shares
1 year-12%-30.9M shares
3 years-3.4%-8M shares
5 years-11%-28.8M shares
Available history+9.2%+18.9M shares

ZG has the edge over TMUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZG Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -21.8xQ1 2025: -8.4xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -3.6xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2024: -21.8xQ1 2025: -8.4xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -3.6xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-21.8xNet Cash

ZG has the edge over TMUS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

ZG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic28.6Neutral

ZG's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS has the edge over ZG on valuation relative to its sector.

ZG PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricZGSector medianRelative
PE127x16x673% above
PE %19267 pts below

ZG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over ZG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ZG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.64.8% below
20 week MA$32.510% below
50 week MA$42.531% below
100 week MA$57.649% below
200 week MA$53.546% below

ZG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over ZG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ZG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.8$143.9+214%
2021$143.9$62.3-57%
2022$62.3$32.1-48%
2023$32.1$56.7+77%
2024$56.7$72.7+28%
2025$72.7$69.6-4.3%
2026 YTD$69.6$29.1-58%

ZG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +214% in 2020 to −57% in 2021. It's down 58% so far in 2026.

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