TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.
TMUS has the edge over Z overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
Z
Zillow Group, Inc. Class C
Z offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TMUS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
Z Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
Z's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
TMUS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $171 | — |
| Current | 16x | $171 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $218 | +27% |
| Fair | 26x | $274 | +60% |
| Expensive | 56x | $581 | +240% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.
Z PE Valuation
Z has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TMUS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
TMUS has the edge over Z on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
Z Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect Z's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TMUS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.49 | +30% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.37 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.56 | -9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.41 | -8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.72 | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.39 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.59 | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.24 | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.66 | +39% |
TMUS has the edge over Z on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
Z Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.08 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.52 | -$0.37 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.22 | +$0.49 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.25 | +$0.60 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.09 | +$0.57 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.15 | +$0.42 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.27 | +$0.34 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.35 | +$0.34 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.48 | +$0.20 |
Z is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.52 per share over the past year, against $2.26 at its worst in mid-2022.
TMUS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.6B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.8B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.3B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $22B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.9B | +6.8% |
TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +4 points |
TMUS has the edge over Z on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
Z Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $724M | +7.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $772M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $708M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $654M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $676M | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $655M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $598M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $554M | +17% |
Z has the edge over TMUS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -22% | -22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1.3% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1% | +6.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.7% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4% | +7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5% | +7 points |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | +9.7 points |
Z's operating margin was −22% last quarter, down 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
TMUS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1B | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.2B | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B | +79% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | +2% |
TMUS generated $18.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 8.8% from the year before.
Z Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $128M | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | -$25M | -150% |
| Q1 2026 | $166M | +144% |
| Q4 2025 | $44M | -50% |
| Q3 2025 | $73M | -47% |
| Q2 2025 | $50M | +178% |
| Q1 2025 | $68M | +66% |
| Q4 2024 | $88M | +69% |
Z still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $313M over the past year.
TMUS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -10.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.9% | -55M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -103M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -182M shares |
| Available history | +24% | +207M shares |
TMUS has 1.1B diluted shares, down 4.9% from a year ago, with $12B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B |
TMUS spent $12B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 1.7% from the year before.
Z Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -2.6M shares |
| 1 year | -12% | -30.9M shares |
| 3 years | -3.4% | -8M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -28.8M shares |
| Available history | +9.2% | +18.9M shares |
Z has the edge over TMUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20M |
| Q2 2026 | $200M |
| Q1 2026 | $626M |
| Q4 2025 | $232M |
| Q3 2025 | $38M |
| Q2 2025 | $150M |
| Q1 2025 | $250M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
Z spent $1.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 146% from the year before.
TMUS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
Z Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -8.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -21.8x | Net Cash |
Z has the edge over TMUS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TMUS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
Z Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.4 | Neutral |
Z's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TMUS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | Same PE |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
TMUS has the edge over Z on valuation relative to its sector.
Z PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | Z | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 127x | 16x | 673% above |
| PE % | 19 | 26 | 7 pts below |
Z has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TMUS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $159.1 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $172.0 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $187.8 | 8.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $188.7 | 9.4% below |
TMUS has the edge over Z on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
Z Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.8 | 3.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $32.0 | 9.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $42.4 | 32% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.7 | 51% below |
| 200 week MA | $54.7 | 47% below |
Z is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.
TMUS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.2 | $132.9 | +72% |
| 2021 | $132.9 | $119.9 | -9.8% |
| 2022 | $119.9 | $140.0 | +17% |
| 2023 | $140.0 | $160.3 | +15% |
| 2024 | $160.3 | $223.0 | +39% |
| 2025 | $223.0 | $201.0 | -9.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $201.0 | $171.0 | -15% |
TMUS has the edge over Z on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
Z Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.1 | $138.6 | +201% |
| 2021 | $138.6 | $63.7 | -54% |
| 2022 | $63.7 | $33.1 | -48% |
| 2023 | $33.1 | $57.9 | +75% |
| 2024 | $57.9 | $76.2 | +32% |
| 2025 | $76.2 | $69.8 | -8.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $69.8 | $28.8 | -59% |
Z's yearly returns have swung widely, from +201% in 2020 to −54% in 2021. It's down 59% so far in 2026.