TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has a slight edge over WLY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

WLY

John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

66
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

WLY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

WLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

WLY's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS has the edge over WLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x123x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x123x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current13x$49.44—
Cheap14x$53.29+7.8%
Fair20x$75.29+52%
Expensive26x$95.37+93%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WLY's PE is in its cheap range at 13x.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.

WLY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WLY to show an outlook.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WLY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$62.10
Downside-25%$36.98

Calculated from the latest close: $49.44 on Nov 12.

WLY trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS earned $10.37 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

WLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-2.86Q2 2024: $-3.65Q3 2024: $-2.01Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $0.73Q2 2025: $1.53Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $1.88Q1 2026: $2.87Q2 2026: $4.16Q3 2026: $3.71
Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-2.86Q2 2024: $-3.65Q3 2024: $-2.01Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $0.73Q2 2025: $1.53Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $1.88Q1 2026: $2.87Q2 2026: $4.16Q3 2026: $3.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.71+108%
Q2 2026$4.16+172%
Q1 2026$2.87+293%
Q4 2025$1.88+$2.80
Q3 2025$1.78+$3.79
Q2 2025$1.53+$5.18
Q1 2025$0.73+$3.59
Q4 2024-$0.92+$1.15

WLY has the edge over TMUS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over WLY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $493MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $468MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $443MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $422MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $448MQ3 2026: $386M
Q4 2023: $493MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $468MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $443MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $422MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $448MQ3 2026: $386M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$386.4M-2.6%
Q2 2026$447.9M+1.2%
Q1 2026$410M+1.3%
Q4 2025$421.8M-1.1%
Q3 2025$396.8M-1.7%
Q2 2025$442.6M-5.5%
Q1 2025$404.6M-12%
Q4 2024$426.6M-13%

WLY's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $386M last quarter, down 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over WLY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: −$103MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: −$66M
Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: −$103MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: −$66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$66.5M+$30.5M
Q2 2026$144M+9.8%
Q1 2026$167M+26%
Q4 2025-$4.6M+$15.2M
Q3 2025-$97M+$6.2M
Q2 2025$131.2M-20%
Q1 2025$132.9M+46%
Q4 2024-$19.8M+$1.6M

WLY usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$66M, but it generated $240M over the past year.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has 1.1B diluted shares, down 4.9% from a year ago, with $12B in buybacks over the past year.

WLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.7%-2.5M shares
1 year-6%-3.2M shares
3 years-8.2%-4.5M shares
5 years-10%-5.8M shares
Available history-10%-5.9M shares

WLY has the edge over TMUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over WLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.0xModerate
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20243.1xElevated

WLY's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.0 years a year ago.

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

WLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.6Neutral
Stochastic43.6Neutral

WLY's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

WLY PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricWLYSector medianRelative
PE13x16x19% below
PE %92617 pts below

WLY has the edge over TMUS on valuation relative to its sector.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

WLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.31.7% below
20 week MA$50.52.1% below
50 week MA$42.217% above
100 week MA$41.519% above
200 week MA$40.323% above

WLY has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

WLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.4$45.3-6.6%
2021$45.3$55.4+22%
2022$55.4$39.4-29%
2023$39.4$31.7-19%
2024$31.7$44.5+40%
2025$44.5$31.1-30%
2026 YTD$31.1$49.4+59%

WLY has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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