TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

WDC

Western Digital Corporation

80
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

WDC has the edge over TMUS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

WDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

WDC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS has the edge over WDC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$255-18%
Forward11x$311—
Current12x$311—
Fair19x$487+56%
Expensive63x$1,618+420%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WDC's PE is in its cheap range at 12x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.

WDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for WDC, with profitability improving.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS trails WDC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+129%$712.82
Downside-18%$254.36

Calculated from the latest close: $311.21 on Nov 12.

WDC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TMUS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS earned $10.37 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

WDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$28.81+12%
Q3 2026$25.84+276%
Q2 2026$24.28+371%
Q1 2026$16.75+268%
Q4 2025$9.97+187%
Q3 2025$6.87+655%
Q2 2025$5.15+$7.76
Q1 2025$4.55+$9.61
Q4 2024$3.47+$10.69

WDC has the edge over TMUS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over WDC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B+55%
Q2 2026$3.7B+44%
Q1 2026$3.3B+45%
Q4 2025$3B-30%
Q3 2025$2.8B-31%
Q2 2025$2.6B-31%
Q1 2025$2.3B-34%
Q4 2024$4.3B+41%

WDC's revenue is growing: $4.4B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS generated $18.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 8.8% from the year before.

WDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+130%
Q2 2026$1.3B+90%
Q1 2026$978M+158%
Q4 2025$653M+128%
Q3 2025$599M+$661M
Q2 2025$675M+170%
Q1 2025$379M+$418M
Q4 2024$287M+$529M

WDC generated $4.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 121% from the year before.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over WDC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+1M shares
1 year+2.1%+8M shares
3 years+19%+61M shares
5 years+22%+68M shares
Available history+29%+86M shares

WDC has 384M diluted shares, up 2.1% from a year ago, despite $3B in buybacks over the past year.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

WDC Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

WDC has the edge over TMUS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

WDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic11.2Oversold

WDC's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

WDC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWDCSector medianRelative
PE12x28x57% below
PE %28357 pts below

WDC has the edge over TMUS on valuation relative to its sector.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

WDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$360.814% below
20 week MA$438.429% below
50 week MA$380.418% below
100 week MA$226.837% above
200 week MA$133.7133% above

WDC has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

WDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.0$37.7-20%
2021$37.7$46.2+23%
2022$46.2$23.1-50%
2023$23.1$39.6+71%
2024$39.6$45.9+16%
2025$45.9$181.5+296%
2026 YTD$181.5$311.2+71%

WDC has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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