TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over TU overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TU

TELUS Corporation

48
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

TU offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

TU's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

TU PE Valuation

TU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over TU on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

TU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TU's profitability to improve, but its earnings to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TU, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$10.17
Downside-16%$7.13

Calculated from the latest close: $8.52 on Nov 12.

TU trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over TU on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TU Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.39Q4 2023: $0.41Q1 2024: $0.36Q2 2024: $0.37Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.56Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.54Q4 2025: $0.51Q1 2026: $0.42Q2 2026: $-0.40
Q3 2023: $0.39Q4 2023: $0.41Q1 2024: $0.36Q2 2024: $0.37Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.56Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.54Q4 2025: $0.51Q1 2026: $0.42Q2 2026: $-0.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.40-189%
Q1 2026$0.42-25%
Q4 2025$0.51+8.5%
Q3 2025$0.54+23%
Q2 2025$0.45+22%
Q1 2025$0.56+56%
Q4 2024$0.47+15%
Q3 2024$0.44+13%

TU has swung to a loss: it lost $0.40 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over TU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TU Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.5BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.5B
Q3 2023: $3.5BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.5B-2.2%
Q1 2026$3.5B-0.6%
Q4 2025$3.7B-1.9%
Q3 2025$3.6B+0.5%
Q2 2025$3.5B+2.7%
Q1 2025$3.5B+3.1%
Q4 2024$3.7B+3.4%
Q3 2024$3.5B+1%

TU's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $3.5B last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over TU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TU Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $378MQ4 2023: $443MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $702MQ3 2024: $529MQ4 2024: −$255MQ1 2025: $297MQ2 2025: $399MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $352MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $485M
Q3 2023: $378MQ4 2023: $443MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $702MQ3 2024: $529MQ4 2024: −$255MQ1 2025: $297MQ2 2025: $399MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $352MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $485M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$485.1M+21%
Q1 2026-$17.6M-106%
Q4 2025$352.2M+$607.4M
Q3 2025$506.8M-4.3%
Q2 2025$399.3M-43%
Q1 2025$297.4M+2921%
Q4 2024-$255.2M-158%
Q3 2024$529.4M+40%

TU generated $1.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 37% from the year before.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over TU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TU Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.5BQ4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6B
Q3 2023: 1.5BQ4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+12M shares
1 year+2.9%+44M shares
3 years+8.4%+122M shares
5 years+16%+215M shares
Available history+31%+370M shares

TU has 1.6B diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over TU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TU Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.1xQ4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 4.1x
Q3 2023: 4.1xQ4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.1xHigh
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.1xHigh
Q4 20244.1xHigh
Q3 20244.2xHigh

TU's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

TU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.3Neutral
Stochastic43.4Neutral

TU's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

TU PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTUSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

TU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

TU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.500.2% above
20 week MA$9.278.1% below
50 week MA$11.425% below
100 week MA$13.336% below
200 week MA$15.545% below

TU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 45% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over TU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.3$20.0+3.3%
2021$20.0$23.2+16%
2022$23.2$19.7-15%
2023$19.7$17.8-9.6%
2024$17.8$13.5-24%
2025$13.5$12.9-4.4%
2026 YTD$12.9$8.52-34%

TU has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 34% so far in 2026.

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