TLRY

Tilray Brands, Inc.

56
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

TLRY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over TLRY overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

TLRY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

TLRY's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

TLRY PE Valuation

TLRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TLRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

TLRY has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TLRY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$4.17
Downside-39%$1.51

Calculated from the latest close: $2.49 on Nov 12.

TLRY trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TLRY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TLRY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-22.80Q1 2024: $-5.00Q2 2024: $-3.30Q3 2024: $-2.70Q4 2024: $-3.00Q1 2025: $-10.50Q2 2025: $-24.60Q3 2025: $-24.20Q4 2025: $-23.61Q1 2026: $-15.15Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.41
Q4 2023: $-22.80Q1 2024: $-5.00Q2 2024: $-3.30Q3 2024: $-2.70Q4 2024: $-3.00Q1 2025: $-10.50Q2 2025: $-24.60Q3 2025: $-24.20Q4 2025: $-23.61Q1 2026: $-15.15Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.41+$22.79
Q2 2026-$1.09+$23.51
Q1 2026-$15.15-$4.65
Q4 2025-$23.61-$20.61
Q3 2025-$24.20-$21.50
Q2 2025-$24.60-$21.30
Q1 2025-$10.50-$5.50
Q4 2024-$3.00+$19.80

TLRY is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.41 per share over the past year, against $58.23 at its worst in mid-2020.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over TLRY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TLRY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $282MQ3 2026: $257M
Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $282MQ3 2026: $257M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$257.1M+23%
Q2 2026$281.7M+25%
Q1 2026$206.7M+11%
Q4 2025$217.5M+3.1%
Q3 2025$209.5M+4.7%
Q2 2025$224.5M-2.3%
Q1 2025$185.8M-1.4%
Q4 2024$211M+8.9%

TLRY's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $257M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over TLRY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLRY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$37MQ3 2026: −$17M
Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$37MQ3 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$16.5M-$15.2M
Q2 2026-$37.3M-$18.2M
Q1 2026-$21.9M-$1.8M
Q4 2025-$8.5M+$37.6M
Q3 2025-$1.3M+$40.7M
Q2 2025-$19.1M-191%
Q1 2025-$20.2M+$4.7M
Q4 2024-$46.2M-$9.9M

TLRY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$84M over the past year, against −$87M the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over TLRY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TLRY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 133M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 133M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+19%+21.5M shares
1 year+26%+27.3M shares
3 years+93%+64.2M shares
5 years+197%+88.4M shares
Available history+1484%+125M shares

TLRY has 133M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over TLRY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TLRY Net Leverage

TLRY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TLRY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.0Oversold
Stochastic6.8Oversold

TLRY's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

TLRY PE vs Healthcare Sector

TLRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TLRY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.1320% below
20 week MA$3.9036% below
50 week MA$5.8958% below
100 week MA$7.3966% below
200 week MA$13.982% below

TLRY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 82% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over TLRY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TLRY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$162.8$85.9-47%
2021$85.9$78.4-8.7%
2022$78.4$27.9-64%
2023$27.9$23.0-18%
2024$23.0$14.3-38%
2025$14.3$9.60-33%
2026 YTD$9.60$2.49-74%

TLRY has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 74% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over TLRY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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