THC

Tenet Healthcare Corporation

73
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

THC has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

THC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

THC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

THC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$207-28%
Current8.3x$287—
Fair11x$365+27%
Forward14x$287—
Expensive17x$590+106%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

THC has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

THC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect THC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UNH has the edge over THC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

THC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$386.92
Downside-18%$236.51

Calculated from the latest close: $286.86 on Nov 12.

THC trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than THC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

THC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.71Q1 2024: $25.77Q2 2024: $27.26Q3 2024: $31.21Q4 2024: $32.70Q1 2025: $15.59Q2 2025: $16.09Q3 2025: $15.06Q4 2025: $15.49Q1 2026: $19.23Q2 2026: $25.93Q3 2026: $34.48Forward: $20.30
Q4 2023: $5.71Q1 2024: $25.77Q2 2024: $27.26Q3 2024: $31.21Q4 2024: $32.70Q1 2025: $15.59Q2 2025: $16.09Q3 2025: $15.06Q4 2025: $15.49Q1 2026: $19.23Q2 2026: $25.93Q3 2026: $34.48Forward: $20.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.30-41%
Q3 2026$34.48+129%
Q2 2026$25.93+61%
Q1 2026$19.23+23%
Q4 2025$15.49-53%
Q3 2025$15.06-52%
Q2 2025$16.09-41%
Q1 2025$15.59-40%
Q4 2024$32.70+473%

THC has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

THC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $5.5BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $5.6B
Q4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $5.5BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $5.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.6B+6.5%
Q2 2026$5.6B+6.8%
Q1 2026$5.4B+2.8%
Q4 2025$5.5B+9%
Q3 2025$5.3B+3.3%
Q2 2025$5.3B+3.3%
Q1 2025$5.2B-2.7%
Q4 2024$5.1B-5.7%

THC's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $5.6B last quarter, up 6.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over THC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $829MQ4 2024: −$661MQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $743MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $367MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $417MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $829MQ4 2024: −$661MQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $743MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $367MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $417MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+39%
Q2 2026$417M-44%
Q1 2026$1.5B+128%
Q4 2025$367M+$1B
Q3 2025$778M-6.2%
Q2 2025$743M+23%
Q1 2025$642M+86%
Q4 2024-$661M-207%

THC generated $3.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 122% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

THC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 89MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 81M
Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 89MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 81M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4%-3.4M shares
1 year-9%-8M shares
3 years-23%-23.8M shares
5 years-26%-28.2M shares
Available history-22%-22.8M shares

THC has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

THC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20262.0xModerate
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.4xModerate
Q3 20252.4xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

THC's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.4 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

THC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.8Overbought
Stochastic73.5Neutral

THC's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

THC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricTHCSector medianRelative
PE8.3x26x68% below
PE %32293 pts above

THC has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

THC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$270.26.2% above
20 week MA$256.012% above
50 week MA$220.830% above
100 week MA$190.850% above
200 week MA$144.199% above

THC has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

THC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.3$40.1+4.9%
2021$40.1$79.3+98%
2022$79.3$46.6-41%
2023$46.6$75.6+62%
2024$75.6$128.0+69%
2025$128.0$200.6+57%
2026 YTD$200.6$286.9+43%

THC has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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