TDS
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.
TDS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.
TMUS has the edge over TDS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
TDS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
TDS's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
TMUS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
TDS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7.5x | $30.73 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $48.62 | +58% |
| Fair | 17x | $71.06 | +131% |
| Expensive | 23x | $94.77 | +208% |
| Forward | 116x | $30.73 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TDS has the edge over TMUS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TMUS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $171 | — |
| Current | 16x | $171 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $218 | +27% |
| Fair | 26x | $274 | +60% |
| Expensive | 56x | $581 | +240% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.
TDS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect TDS to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.
TMUS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
TMUS has the edge over TDS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
TDS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.26 | -94% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.09 | +$5.16 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.00 | +$3.96 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.53 | +$1.57 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.65 | +$0.20 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.07 | +$4.34 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.96 | +$3.88 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.04 | +$3.84 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.85 | +$4.21 |
TDS has the edge over TMUS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TMUS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.49 | +30% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.37 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.56 | -9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.41 | -8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.72 | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.39 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.59 | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.24 | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.66 | +39% |
TMUS earned $10.37 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
TDS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $306.7M | -0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $309.3M | -74% |
| Q1 2026 | $309.5M | -73% |
| Q4 2025 | $330.7M | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $308.5M | -75% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | -8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | -5.5% |
TDS's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $307M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -9.8% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 121% | +117 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +43 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.1% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -22% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | +43 points |
TDS's operating margin was −9.8% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
TMUS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.6B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.8B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.3B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $22B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.9B | +6.8% |
TMUS has the edge over TDS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +4 points |
TMUS has the edge over TDS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TDS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$305.5M | -$292.8M |
| Q2 2026 | -$113.3M | -143% |
| Q1 2026 | -$81.6M | -243% |
| Q4 2025 | -$108.9M | -$91.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$12.7M | -112% |
| Q2 2025 | $264M | +42% |
| Q1 2025 | $57M | +$68M |
| Q4 2024 | -$17M | +$69M |
TDS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$609M over the past year, against $291M the year before.
TMUS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1B | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.2B | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B | +79% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | +2% |
TMUS has the edge over TDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
TDS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -3.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | -0.9% | -1M shares |
| Available history | -0.9% | -1M shares |
TDS has 115M diluted shares, down 3.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $67.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $3M |
TMUS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -10.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.9% | -55M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -103M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -182M shares |
| Available history | +24% | +207M shares |
TMUS has the edge over TDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B |
TMUS spent $12B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 1.7% from the year before.
TDS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7x | Elevated |
TDS has the edge over TMUS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TMUS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TDS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.1 | Neutral |
TDS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).
TMUS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
TDS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TDS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.5x | 16x | 54% below |
| PE % | 0 | 26 | 26 pts below |
TDS has the edge over TMUS on valuation relative to its sector.
TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TMUS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | Same PE |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
TDS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.0 | 9.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.6 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $39.4 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $38.1 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $27.8 | 11% above |
TDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 11% above its 200-week average.
TMUS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $159.1 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $172.0 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $187.8 | 8.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $188.7 | 9.4% below |
TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.
TDS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.9 | $18.3 | -27% |
| 2021 | $18.3 | $20.6 | +13% |
| 2022 | $20.6 | $10.6 | -49% |
| 2023 | $10.6 | $18.4 | +74% |
| 2024 | $18.4 | $34.8 | +90% |
| 2025 | $34.8 | $40.3 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.3 | $30.7 | -24% |
TDS has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 24% so far in 2026.
TMUS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.2 | $132.9 | +72% |
| 2021 | $132.9 | $119.9 | -9.8% |
| 2022 | $119.9 | $140.0 | +17% |
| 2023 | $140.0 | $160.3 | +15% |
| 2024 | $160.3 | $223.0 | +39% |
| 2025 | $223.0 | $201.0 | -9.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $201.0 | $171.0 | -15% |
TMUS has the edge over TDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.