TDAY

USA TODAY Co., Inc.

49
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential72/ 100

TDAY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over TDAY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

TDAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Weak

TDAY's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TDAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE190x380x570x760x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE190x380x570x760x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$0.52-92%
Fair11x$0.64-91%
Forward35x$6.86—
Expensive83x$5.01-27%
Current114x$6.86—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TDAY's PE is in its expensive range at 114x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS has the edge over TDAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TDAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TDAY to return to profit, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over TDAY on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

TDAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$7.69
Downside-72%$1.91

Calculated from the latest close: $6.86 on Nov 12.

TDAY trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TDAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TDAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.20Q1 2024: $-0.87Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.01Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $-0.18Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.19
Q4 2023: $-0.20Q1 2024: $-0.87Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.01Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $-0.18Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.19+223%
Q3 2026$0.06-89%
Q2 2026-$0.18-126%
Q1 2026$0.18-51%
Q4 2025$0.01+$0.19
Q3 2025$0.57+$1.38
Q2 2025$0.70+$1.39
Q1 2025$0.37+$1.24
Q4 2024-$0.18+$0.02

TDAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.06 over the past year, against $0.70 in mid-2025.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS earned $10.37 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

TDAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $669MQ1 2024: $636MQ2 2024: $640MQ3 2024: $612MQ4 2024: $621MQ1 2025: $572MQ2 2025: $585MQ3 2025: $561MQ4 2025: $585MQ1 2026: $548MQ2 2026: $536MQ3 2026: $519M
Q4 2023: $669MQ1 2024: $636MQ2 2024: $640MQ3 2024: $612MQ4 2024: $621MQ1 2025: $572MQ2 2025: $585MQ3 2025: $561MQ4 2025: $585MQ1 2026: $548MQ2 2026: $536MQ3 2026: $519M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$519.2M-7.4%
Q2 2026$536.3M-8.3%
Q1 2026$548.5M-4%
Q4 2025$585M-5.8%
Q3 2025$560.8M-8.4%
Q2 2025$584.9M-8.6%
Q1 2025$571.6M-10%
Q4 2024$621.3M-7.2%

TDAY's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $519M last quarter, down 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over TDAY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.1M-16%
Q2 2026$19.6M+12%
Q1 2026$6.4M-35%
Q4 2025$30.8M+$34.6M
Q3 2025$4.9M-75%
Q2 2025$17.5M-31%
Q1 2025$9.8M+3.3%
Q4 2024-$3.8M-130%

TDAY still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $61M over the past year.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over TDAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 241MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 146MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 194MQ3 2026: 147M
Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 241MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 146MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 194MQ3 2026: 147M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-24%-46.5M shares
1 year+1.1%+1.6M shares
3 years+5%+7.1M shares
5 years-38%-90.1M shares
Available history+13%+16.9M shares

TDAY has 147M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over TDAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TDAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 5.5xQ3 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 8.6xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 5.5xQ3 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 8.6xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xHigh
Q2 20264.1xHigh
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20255.9xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q4 20248.6xHigh

TDAY's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.9 years a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over TDAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TDAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic32.2Neutral

TDAY's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

TDAY PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTDAYSector medianRelative
PE114x16x593% above
PE %912665 pts above

TDAY is trading at 114x earnings, a 593% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS has the edge over TDAY on valuation relative to its sector.

TDAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.722.1% above
20 week MA$7.133.8% below
50 week MA$6.840.3% above
100 week MA$5.4326% above
200 week MA$4.2761% above

TDAY has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

TDAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.20$2.75-56%
2021$2.75$5.61+104%
2022$5.61$2.10-63%
2023$2.10$2.30+9.5%
2024$2.30$4.98+117%
2025$4.98$5.42+8.8%
2026 YTD$5.42$6.86+27%

TDAY has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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