TCBX

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc.

57
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

TCBX's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 25%, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 37%. At 10x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TCBX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

TCBX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TCBX.

TCBX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x7.9x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x7.9x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.7x$39.68—
Cheap9.9x$38.58-2.8%
Current10x$39.68—
Fair11x$41.75+5.2%
Expensive12x$47.55+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TCBX's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings.

TCBX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TCBX, but weaker profitability.

TCBX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$49.28
Downside-14%$33.99

Calculated from the latest close: $39.68 on Nov 12.

TCBX's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +24% against −14%.

TCBX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.98Q1 2024: $2.04Q2 2024: $2.14Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $2.78Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.57Q4 2025: $3.79Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.01Q3 2026: $3.91Forward: $4.09
Q4 2023: $1.98Q1 2024: $2.04Q2 2024: $2.14Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $2.78Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.57Q4 2025: $3.79Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.01Q3 2026: $3.91Forward: $4.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.09+4.6%
Q3 2026$3.91+9.5%
Q2 2026$4.01+22%
Q1 2026$3.89+32%
Q4 2025$3.79+36%
Q3 2025$3.57+39%
Q2 2025$3.28+53%
Q1 2025$2.95+45%
Q4 2024$2.78+40%

TCBX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.91 over the past year, up 9.5% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2023.

TCBX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $66M
Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $66M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$65.9M+21%
Q2 2026$68M+31%
Q1 2026$57.7M+26%
Q4 2025$56.5M+22%
Q3 2025$54.5M+27%
Q2 2025$52M+25%
Q1 2025$45.9M+14%
Q4 2024$46.3M+17%

TCBX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2022: $66M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

TCBX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$39MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$39MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.9M-57%
Q2 2026$45M+224%
Q1 2026-$38.7M-469%
Q3 2025$20.7M-5.8%
Q2 2025$13.9M+90%
Q1 2025$10.5M+11%
Q3 2024$22M+1077%
Q2 2024$7.3M-22%

TCBX's free cash flow was $21M over the past year, down 69% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TCBX.

TCBX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 20M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+101K shares
1 year+18%+3M shares
3 years+21%+3.6M shares

TCBX has 20M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago.

TCBX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -7.6xQ2 2024: -4.4xQ3 2024: -4.0xQ4 2024: -4.9xQ1 2025: -2.5xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -3.6xQ3 2026: -3.0x
Q4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -7.6xQ2 2024: -4.4xQ3 2024: -4.0xQ4 2024: -4.9xQ1 2025: -2.5xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -3.6xQ3 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.9xNet Cash

TCBX has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TCBX.

TCBX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.3Neutral
Stochastic7.5Oversold

TCBX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TCBX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTCBXSector medianRelative
PE10x13x22% below
PE %266438 pts below

TCBX is trading at 10x earnings, a 22% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TCBX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.93.1% below
20 week MA$42.66.7% below
50 week MA$40.62.3% below
100 week MA$37.75.2% above
200 week MA$29.136% above

TCBX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 36% above its 200-week average.

TCBX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$25.1$25.9+3.3%
2022$25.9$18.5-28%
2023$18.5$19.9+7.2%
2024$19.9$34.1+72%
2025$34.1$39.4+15%
2026 YTD$39.4$39.7+0.7%

TCBX has finished higher in four of the last five years. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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