TALO

Talos Energy Inc.

67
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

TALO lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

TALO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Healthy

TALO's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

TALO PE Valuation

TALO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TALO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TALO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TALO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$21.65
Downside-26%$11.86

Calculated from the latest close: $15.98 on Nov 12.

TALO's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +35% against −26%.

TALO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.00Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $-0.90Q3 2025: $-1.94Q4 2025: $-2.82Q1 2026: $-4.29Q2 2026: $-2.36Q3 2026: $-2.30Forward: $1.83
Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.00Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $-0.90Q3 2025: $-1.94Q4 2025: $-2.82Q1 2026: $-4.29Q2 2026: $-2.36Q3 2026: $-2.30Forward: $1.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.83—
Q3 2026-$2.30-$0.36
Q2 2026-$2.36-$1.46
Q1 2026-$4.29-2050%
Q4 2025-$2.82-$2.38
Q3 2025-$1.94-513%
Q2 2025-$0.90-$0.86
Q1 2025$0.22+$0.22
Q4 2024-$0.44-128%

TALO is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.30 per share over the past year, against $10.09 at its worst in early 2021.

TALO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $385MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $549MQ3 2024: $509MQ4 2024: $485MQ1 2025: $513MQ2 2025: $425MQ3 2025: $450MQ4 2025: $392MQ1 2026: $472MQ2 2026: $665MQ3 2026: $596M
Q4 2023: $385MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $549MQ3 2024: $509MQ4 2024: $485MQ1 2025: $513MQ2 2025: $425MQ3 2025: $450MQ4 2025: $392MQ1 2026: $472MQ2 2026: $665MQ3 2026: $596M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$596M+32%
Q2 2026$664.8M+57%
Q1 2026$472.3M-7.9%
Q4 2025$392.2M-19%
Q3 2025$450.1M-12%
Q2 2025$424.7M-23%
Q1 2025$513.1M+19%
Q4 2024$485.2M+26%

TALO's revenue is growing: $596M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

TALO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $176MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $289MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $349MQ1 2025: $268MQ2 2025: $352MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $301MQ3 2026: $326M
Q4 2023: $176MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $289MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $349MQ1 2025: $268MQ2 2025: $352MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $301MQ3 2026: $326M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$325.8M+185%
Q2 2026$300.6M-15%
Q1 2026$174M-35%
Q4 2025$201.8M-42%
Q3 2025$114.2M-50%
Q2 2025$351.6M+22%
Q1 2025$268.2M+178%
Q4 2024$349.3M+98%

TALO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1B over the past year, down 7.5% from the year before.

TALO Total Shares

Q1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 181MQ4 2024: 176MQ1 2025: 180MQ2 2025: 177MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 167M
Q1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 181MQ4 2024: 176MQ1 2025: 180MQ2 2025: 177MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 167M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-3.5M shares
1 year-3.8%-6.7M shares
3 years+33%+41M shares
5 years+153%+101M shares

TALO has 167M diluted shares, down 3.8% from a year ago, with $77M in buybacks over the past year.

TALO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.1xHealthy
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

TALO's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TALO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

TALO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

TALO PE vs Energy Sector

MetricTALOSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

TALO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TALO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.95.5% below
20 week MA$16.21.1% below
50 week MA$14.69.7% above
100 week MA$11.835% above
200 week MA$12.726% above

TALO has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 26% above its 200-week average.

TALO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.7$8.21-72%
2021$8.21$9.82+20%
2022$9.82$19.6+99%
2023$19.6$14.2-27%
2024$14.2$9.24-35%
2025$9.24$10.9+18%
2026 YTD$10.9$16.0+47%

TALO is up 47% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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