TAL

TAL Education Group

71
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

TAL lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve.

TAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

TAL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TAL PE Valuation

TAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TAL, with profitability improving.

TAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$13.42
Downside-25%$7.45

Calculated from the latest close: $9.95 on Nov 12.

TAL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +35% against −25%.

TAL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.29Q4 2023: $-0.92Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $0.76Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $1.73Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.21Q3 2025: $1.03Q4 2025: $1.39Q1 2026: $2.82Q2 2026: $4.86
Q3 2023: $-1.29Q4 2023: $-0.92Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $0.76Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $1.73Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.21Q3 2025: $1.03Q4 2025: $1.39Q1 2026: $2.82Q2 2026: $4.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.86+302%
Q1 2026$2.82+129%
Q4 2025$1.39-20%
Q3 2025$1.03-1%
Q2 2025$1.21+59%
Q1 2025$1.23+$1.28
Q4 2024$1.73+$2.65
Q3 2024$1.04+$2.33

TAL's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.86 over the past year, up from $1.21 the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TAL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $412MQ4 2023: $374MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $619MQ4 2024: $606MQ1 2025: $610MQ2 2025: $575MQ3 2025: $861MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $758M
Q3 2023: $412MQ4 2023: $374MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $619MQ4 2024: $606MQ1 2025: $610MQ2 2025: $575MQ3 2025: $861MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $758M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$758.4M+32%
Q1 2026$808M+32%
Q4 2025$770.2M+27%
Q3 2025$861.4M+39%
Q2 2025$575M+39%
Q1 2025$610.2M+42%
Q4 2024$606.4M+62%
Q3 2024$619.4M+50%

TAL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $758M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

TAL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$43MQ4 2023: $247MQ1 2024: −$136MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: −$576,000Q4 2024: $378MQ1 2025: −$338MQ2 2025: $348MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $527MQ1 2026: −$309MQ2 2026: $478M
Q3 2023: −$43MQ4 2023: $247MQ1 2024: −$136MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: −$576,000Q4 2024: $378MQ1 2025: −$338MQ2 2025: $348MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $527MQ1 2026: −$309MQ2 2026: $478M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$478.2M+38%
Q1 2026-$308.5M+$29.5M
Q4 2025$526.7M+39%
Q3 2025-$58.1M-$57.5M
Q2 2025$347.8M+41%
Q1 2025-$338.1M-$201.6M
Q4 2024$378M+53%
Q3 2024-$576K+$42.1M

TAL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $638M over the past year.

TAL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 67MQ4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 193MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 186M
Q3 2023: 67MQ4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 193MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 186M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-317K shares
1 year-9.1%-18.6M shares
3 years+167%+117M shares
5 years+163%+115M shares
Available history+185%+121M shares

TAL has 186M diluted shares, down 9.1% from a year ago, with $646M in buybacks over the past year.

TAL Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -47.8xQ2 2024: -19.5xQ3 2024: -11.5xQ4 2024: -10.3xQ1 2025: -11.7xQ2 2025: -5.9xQ3 2025: -4.8xQ4 2025: -4.8xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.6x
Q1 2024: -47.8xQ2 2024: -19.5xQ3 2024: -11.5xQ4 2024: -10.3xQ1 2025: -11.7xQ2 2025: -5.9xQ3 2025: -4.8xQ4 2025: -4.8xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-11.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-11.5xNet Cash

TAL has more cash than debt.

TAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

TAL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TAL PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricTALSector medianRelative
PEN/A19x—

TAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.111% below
20 week MA$11.312% below
50 week MA$11.110% below
100 week MA$11.110% below
200 week MA$10.22.5% below

TAL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.5% below its 200-week average.

TAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.4$69.7+44%
2021$69.7$4.08-94%
2022$4.08$8.87+117%
2023$8.87$12.6+42%
2024$12.6$9.77-23%
2025$9.77$11.0+13%
2026 YTD$11.0$9.95-9.5%

TAL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +117% in 2022 to −94% in 2021. It's down 9.5% so far in 2026.

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