TAC

TransAlta Corporation

51
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

TAC lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve.

TAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Strong
Weak

TAC's cash flow is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

TAC PE Valuation

TAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TAC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$16.84
Downside-21%$10.47

Calculated from the latest close: $13.28 on Nov 12.

TAC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +27% against −21%.

TAC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.71Q4 2023: $1.79Q1 2024: $1.53Q2 2024: $1.49Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.40Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.45Q1 2026: $-0.52Q2 2026: $-0.17
Q3 2023: $1.71Q4 2023: $1.79Q1 2024: $1.53Q2 2024: $1.49Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.40Q3 2025: $-0.46Q4 2025: $-0.45Q1 2026: $-0.52Q2 2026: $-0.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.17+$0.23
Q1 2026-$0.52-$0.51
Q4 2025-$0.45-215%
Q3 2025-$0.46-212%
Q2 2025-$0.40-127%
Q1 2025-$0.01-101%
Q4 2024$0.39-78%
Q3 2024$0.41-76%

TAC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.17 per share over the past year, against $1.63 at its worst in late 2021.

TAC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $715MQ4 2023: $439MQ1 2024: $666MQ2 2024: $409MQ3 2024: $449MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $533MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $421MQ1 2026: $398MQ2 2026: $342M
Q3 2023: $715MQ4 2023: $439MQ1 2024: $666MQ2 2024: $409MQ3 2024: $449MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $533MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $421MQ1 2026: $398MQ2 2026: $342M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$342.4M+12%
Q1 2026$398.2M-25%
Q4 2025$420.8M-12%
Q3 2025$432.4M-3.6%
Q2 2025$304.4M-26%
Q1 2025$532.9M-20%
Q4 2024$476.7M+8.7%
Q3 2024$448.5M-37%

TAC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $342M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

TAC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $361MQ4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $33MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: $138MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $12M
Q3 2023: $361MQ4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $33MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: $138MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$12M-78%
Q1 2026$65.6M+$84.5M
Q4 2025$103.3M+45%
Q3 2025$137.8M+29%
Q2 2025$55.5M+68%
Q1 2025-$19M-115%
Q4 2024$71M+40%
Q3 2024$106.9M-70%

TAC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $319M over the past year.

TAC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 263MQ4 2023: 308MQ1 2024: 308MQ2 2024: 303MQ3 2024: 296MQ4 2024: 296MQ1 2025: 298MQ2 2025: 298MQ3 2025: 310MQ4 2025: 297MQ1 2026: 297MQ2 2026: 302M
Q3 2023: 263MQ4 2023: 308MQ1 2024: 308MQ2 2024: 303MQ3 2024: 296MQ4 2024: 296MQ1 2025: 298MQ2 2025: 298MQ3 2025: 310MQ4 2025: 297MQ1 2026: 297MQ2 2026: 302M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.7%+5M shares
1 year+1.3%+4M shares
3 years+14%+38M shares
5 years+12%+32M shares
Available history+7.1%+20M shares

TAC has 302M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago.

TAC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.7xQ4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 6.1xQ2 2026: 4.9x
Q3 2023: 1.7xQ4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 6.1xQ2 2026: 4.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20266.1xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q3 20255.8xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20254.8xHigh
Q4 20243.8xElevated
Q3 20243.5xElevated

TAC's net debt is about 4.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.7 years a year ago.

TAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic65.9Neutral

TAC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

TAC PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricTACSector medianRelative
PEN/A20x—

TAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.74.8% above
20 week MA$12.74.4% above
50 week MA$12.92.6% above
100 week MA$12.56.6% above
200 week MA$10.526% above

TAC is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% above its 200-week average.

TAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.03$7.37+4.8%
2021$7.37$11.1+51%
2022$11.1$8.78-21%
2023$8.78$8.31-5.4%
2024$8.31$14.2+71%
2025$14.2$12.8-9.8%
2026 YTD$12.8$13.3+3.4%

TAC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 3.4% so far in 2026.

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