SUPN

Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc

76
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SUPN has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SUPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

SUPN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

SUPN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x299x449x598x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x299x449x598x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.4x$29.20—
Current8.2x$29.20—
Cheap18x$63.68+118%
Fair26x$91.92+215%
Expensive97x$347+1088%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SUPN has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SUPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SUPN, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SUPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$51.42
Downside-19%$23.56

Calculated from the latest close: $29.20 on Nov 12.

SUPN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UNH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH trails SUPN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SUPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $0.21Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $1.00Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.64Q1 2026: $1.95Q2 2026: $2.79Q3 2026: $3.58Forward: $3.97
Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $0.21Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $1.00Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.64Q1 2026: $1.95Q2 2026: $2.79Q3 2026: $3.58Forward: $3.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.97+11%
Q3 2026$3.58+175%
Q2 2026$2.79+179%
Q1 2026$1.95+1293%
Q4 2025$1.64+681%
Q3 2025$1.30+829%
Q2 2025$1.00+$1.83
Q1 2025$0.14-18%
Q4 2024$0.21+425%

SUPN has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

SUPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $293MQ1 2024: $284MQ2 2024: $299MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $302MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $358MQ1 2026: $317MQ2 2026: $343MQ3 2026: $356M
Q4 2023: $293MQ1 2024: $284MQ2 2024: $299MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $302MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $358MQ1 2026: $317MQ2 2026: $343MQ3 2026: $356M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$356M+13%
Q2 2026$343M+14%
Q1 2026$317M+19%
Q4 2025$358M+20%
Q3 2025$314M+2.3%
Q2 2025$302M+1%
Q1 2025$266M-6.3%
Q4 2024$299M+2%

SUPN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $356M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over SUPN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SUPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$299MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: −$245MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $222MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: −$299MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: −$245MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $222MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83M+$142M
Q2 2026$222M+57%
Q1 2026-$29M-141%
Q4 2025-$245M-$224M
Q3 2025-$59M-$54M
Q2 2025$141M+68%
Q1 2025$70M+$110M
Q4 2024-$21M+$278M

SUPN has burned cash in most quarters: $31M over the past year, down 76% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

SUPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 124MQ3 2026: 122M
Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 124MQ3 2026: 122M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-2M shares
1 year-5.4%-7M shares
3 years-11%-15.7M shares

SUPN has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

SUPN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 20240.5xVery low

SUPN has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SUPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.4Neutral
Stochastic32.2Neutral

SUPN's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

SUPN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSUPNSector medianRelative
PE8.2x26x68% below
PE %12928 pts below

SUPN has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SUPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.319% below
20 week MA$37.322% below
50 week MA$35.818% below
100 week MA$26.311% above
200 week MA$21.934% above

SUPN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 34% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over SUPN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SUPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.83$6.90+144%
2021$6.90$17.8+157%
2022$17.8$22.0+24%
2023$22.0$15.3-31%
2024$15.3$12.4-19%
2025$12.4$36.2+192%
2026 YTD$36.2$29.2-19%

SUPN has finished higher in four of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over SUPN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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