STX

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

77
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

STX has the edge over UBER overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.

60
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential17/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

UBER's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

STX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

UBER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

STX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$188-65%
Forward12x$545—
Fair17x$318-42%
Current29x$545—
Expensive43x$823+51%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

UBER PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$26.01-62%
Fair17x$29.70-57%
Forward17x$69.12—
Current40x$69.12—
Expensive93x$160+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UBER has the edge over STX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

STX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STX, with profitability improving.

UBER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UBER, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

STX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+175%$1,497.22
Downside-14%$470.41

Calculated from the latest close: $545.14 on Nov 12.

STX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UBER, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UBER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.80
Downside-49%$35.31

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

UBER trails STX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

STX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $47.00
Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $47.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$47.00+147%
Q3 2026$19.06+145%
Q2 2026$13.90+105%
Q1 2026$10.54+51%
Q4 2025$8.84+60%
Q3 2025$7.79+101%
Q2 2025$6.77+328%
Q1 2025$6.96+$8.26
Q4 2024$5.51+$9.02

STX has the edge over UBER on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UBER Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.07+138%
Q3 2026$1.71-78%
Q2 2026$4.57-22%
Q1 2026$4.03-29%
Q4 2025$4.73+3.7%
Q3 2025$7.78+285%
Q2 2025$5.87+538%
Q1 2025$5.71+806%
Q4 2024$4.56+424%

UBER's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.71 over the past year, against $7.78 in late 2025.

STX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+61%
Q2 2026$3.6B+48%
Q1 2026$3.1B+44%
Q4 2025$2.8B+22%
Q3 2025$2.6B+21%
Q2 2025$2.4B+30%
Q1 2025$2.2B+31%
Q4 2024$2.3B+50%

STX has the edge over UBER on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UBER Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.8B+9.6%
Q2 2026$14.2B+12%
Q1 2026$13.2B+14%
Q4 2025$14.4B+20%
Q3 2025$13.5B+20%
Q2 2025$12.7B+18%
Q1 2025$11.5B+14%
Q4 2024$12B+20%

UBER's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $14.8B last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

STX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+246%
Q2 2026$1.1B+163%
Q1 2026$953M+341%
Q4 2025$607M+305%
Q3 2025$427M+1481%
Q2 2025$425M+12%
Q1 2025$216M+69%
Q4 2024$150M+52%

STX has the edge over UBER on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UBER Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+14%
Q2 2026$2.8B+13%
Q1 2026$2.3B+1.6%
Q4 2025$2.8B+65%
Q3 2025$2.2B+5.7%
Q2 2025$2.5B+44%
Q1 2025$2.3B+66%
Q4 2024$1.7B+122%

UBER generated $10.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

STX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+3M shares
1 year+2.7%+6M shares
3 years+12%+24M shares
5 years+0.4%+1M shares
Available history-12%-33M shares

STX has 232M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

UBER Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+99K shares
1 year-3.5%-74.1M shares
3 years-2.8%-58.2M shares
5 years+8%+151M shares
Available history+19%+326M shares

UBER has the edge over STX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

STX has the edge over UBER on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UBER Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

UBER's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

STX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

UBER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

STX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSTXSector medianRelative
PE29x28x2.7% above
PE %753540 pts above

STX has the edge over UBER on valuation relative to its sector.

UBER PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUBERSector medianRelative
PE40x28x45% above
PE %683533 pts above

UBER is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

STX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$683.620% below
20 week MA$785.031% below
50 week MA$630.714% below
100 week MA$387.341% above
200 week MA$234.4133% above

STX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.

UBER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$68.70.7% above
20 week MA$71.73.6% below
50 week MA$74.47.1% below
100 week MA$78.912% below
200 week MA$67.91.8% above

UBER's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.8% above its 200-week average.

STX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$63.0+5.7%
2021$63.0$111.4+77%
2022$111.4$50.5-55%
2023$50.5$85.4+69%
2024$85.4$87.4+2.4%
2025$87.4$286.2+228%
2026 YTD$286.2$545.1+90%

STX has the edge over UBER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UBER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.2$52.9+75%
2021$52.9$43.9-17%
2022$43.9$24.6-44%
2023$24.6$61.6+150%
2024$61.6$61.1-0.7%
2025$61.1$81.3+33%
2026 YTD$81.3$69.1-15%

UBER's yearly returns have swung widely, from +150% in 2023 to −44% in 2022. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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