STVN

Stevanato Group S.p.A.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

STVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over STVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

STVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

STVN's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

STVN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current27x$14.36—
Cheap31x$16.55+15%
Fair39x$20.56+43%
Expensive49x$25.80+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STVN has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

STVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect STVN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

STVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$20.16
Downside-29%$10.26

Calculated from the latest close: $14.36 on Nov 12.

STVN trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than STVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

STVN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.62Q4 2023: $0.62Q1 2024: $0.58Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.53
Q3 2023: $0.62Q4 2023: $0.62Q1 2024: $0.58Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.53-5.4%
Q1 2026$0.57+9.6%
Q4 2025$0.57+16%
Q3 2025$0.58+23%
Q2 2025$0.56+7.7%
Q1 2025$0.52-10%
Q4 2024$0.49-21%
Q3 2024$0.47-24%

STVN has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

STVN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $302MQ4 2023: $356MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $288MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $367MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $304MQ2 2026: $335M
Q3 2023: $302MQ4 2023: $356MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $288MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $367MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $304MQ2 2026: $335M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$335.5M+7.8%
Q1 2026$303.9M+6.6%
Q4 2025$381.3M+3.8%
Q3 2025$336.8M+9.1%
Q2 2025$311.1M+7.9%
Q1 2025$285.1M+8.7%
Q4 2024$367.3M+3.1%
Q3 2024$308.7M+2.4%

STVN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $335M last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

STVN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$289MQ4 2023: −$85MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$52MQ3 2024: −$122MQ4 2024: −$50MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$38M
Q3 2023: −$289MQ4 2023: −$85MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$52MQ3 2024: −$122MQ4 2024: −$50MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$37.6M-$20.6M
Q1 2026$5.3M-83%
Q4 2025$5.2M+$55.4M
Q3 2025-$1.3M+$121.2M
Q2 2025-$17.1M+$34.6M
Q1 2025$31.2M+$65.7M
Q4 2024-$50.3M+$35.2M
Q3 2024-$122.5M+$166.1M

STVN has burned cash in most quarters: −$28M over the past year, against −$159M the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over STVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

STVN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 265MQ4 2023: 266MQ1 2024: 266MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 273MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 273MQ2 2025: 273MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 273MQ1 2026: 273MQ2 2026: 273M
Q3 2023: 265MQ4 2023: 266MQ1 2024: 266MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 273MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 273MQ2 2025: 273MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 273MQ1 2026: 273MQ2 2026: 273M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-21.1K shares
1 year0%+77K shares
3 years+2.9%+7.6M shares
5 years-9.1%-27.4M shares
Available history-7.4%-21.8M shares

STVN has 273M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over STVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STVN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.8xQ4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: 0.8xQ4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy
Q3 20241.0xHealthy

STVN has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

STVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic17.5Oversold

STVN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

STVN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSTVNSector medianRelative
PE27x26x4.2% above
PE %63832 pts below

STVN is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over STVN on valuation relative to its sector.

STVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.322% below
20 week MA$19.627% below
50 week MA$18.221% below
100 week MA$20.730% below
200 week MA$23.138% below

STVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over STVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

STVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.7$23.3+19%
2022$23.3$17.9-23%
2023$17.9$27.3+53%
2024$27.3$21.6-21%
2025$21.6$20.7-4.2%
2026 YTD$20.7$14.4-31%

STVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over STVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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