SPHR

Sphere Entertainment Co.

64
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

SPHR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over SPHR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SPHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Strong
Under pressure

SPHR's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

SPHR PE Valuation

SPHR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

SPHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SPHR's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over SPHR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SPHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$174.13
Downside-29%$87.81

Calculated from the latest close: $123.66 on Nov 12.

SPHR trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with more potential downside for the same potential upside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPHR, with less potential downside for the same potential upside.

SPHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.61Q1 2024: $11.04Q2 2024: $-5.68Q3 2024: $-10.52Q4 2024: $-9.10Q1 2025: $-10.04Q2 2025: $-5.32Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $2.97Q2 2026: $-1.49Q3 2026: $-3.53
Q4 2023: $11.61Q1 2024: $11.04Q2 2024: $-5.68Q3 2024: $-10.52Q4 2024: $-9.10Q1 2025: $-10.04Q2 2025: $-5.32Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $2.97Q2 2026: $-1.49Q3 2026: $-3.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.53+$1.64
Q2 2026-$1.49+$3.83
Q1 2026$2.97+$13.01
Q4 2025$0.74+$9.84
Q3 2025-$5.17+$5.35
Q2 2025-$5.32+$0.36
Q1 2025-$10.04-191%
Q4 2024-$9.10-178%

SPHR is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.53 per share over the past year, against $10.52 at its worst in late 2024.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over SPHR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SPHR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $314MQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $273MQ3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $281MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $263MQ4 2025: $394MQ1 2026: $386MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $274M
Q4 2023: $314MQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $273MQ3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $281MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $263MQ4 2025: $394MQ1 2026: $386MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $274M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$274.3M+4.5%
Q2 2026$313.6M+11%
Q1 2026$386.4M+38%
Q4 2025$394.3M+28%
Q3 2025$262.5M+15%
Q2 2025$282.7M+3.4%
Q1 2025$280.6M-13%
Q4 2024$308.3M-1.9%

SPHR's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $274M last quarter, up 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SPHR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $46MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: −$72MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$59MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: −$34MQ3 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: $46MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: −$72MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$59MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: −$34MQ3 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$56.9M-51%
Q2 2026-$33.7M+$25.4M
Q1 2026$136.2M+2046%
Q4 2025$180.2M+614%
Q3 2025$115.8M+240%
Q2 2025-$59.1M+$13.4M
Q1 2025$6.3M-94%
Q4 2024$25.3M-46%

SPHR generated $340M in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over SPHR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPHR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+186K shares
1 year-19%-8.5M shares
3 years+4%+1.4M shares
5 years-30%-15.9M shares

SPHR has the edge over TMUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has 1.1B diluted shares, down 4.9% from a year ago, with $12B in buybacks over the past year.

SPHR Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 8.2xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 3.4x
Q1 2025: 8.2xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.4xElevated
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20254.2xHigh
Q1 20258.2xHigh
Q4 202215.9xHigh

SPHR's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over SPHR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SPHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.2Neutral
Stochastic23.2Neutral

SPHR's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

SPHR PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricSPHRSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

SPHR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

SPHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$117.65.1% above
20 week MA$136.79.5% below
50 week MA$125.41.4% below
100 week MA$85.644% above
200 week MA$60.9103% above

SPHR has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

SPHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.9$40.7-0.3%
2021$40.7$32.8-19%
2022$32.8$19.9-39%
2023$19.9$34.0+71%
2024$34.0$38.1+12%
2025$38.1$93.4+145%
2026 YTD$93.4$123.7+32%

SPHR has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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