SPG

Simon Property Group, Inc.

56
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

SPG's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 16%, but its operating margin fell 5 points to 46%. At 17x earnings, it's trading below its usual 20x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SPG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

SPG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like SPG.

SPG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$200-14%
Current17x$234—
Fair19x$270+16%
Expensive27x$370+58%
Forward33x$234—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SPG's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 33x, in its expensive range.

SPG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SPG, but weaker profitability.

SPG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$267.38
Downside-12%$205.56

Calculated from the latest close: $233.61 on Nov 12.

SPG's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +14% against −12%.

SPG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.98Q1 2024: $7.85Q2 2024: $7.87Q3 2024: $7.51Q4 2024: $7.26Q1 2025: $6.28Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $6.87Q4 2025: $14.18Q1 2026: $14.39Q2 2026: $14.18Q3 2026: $13.86Forward: $7.08
Q4 2023: $6.98Q1 2024: $7.85Q2 2024: $7.87Q3 2024: $7.51Q4 2024: $7.26Q1 2025: $6.28Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $6.87Q4 2025: $14.18Q1 2026: $14.39Q2 2026: $14.18Q3 2026: $13.86Forward: $7.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.08-49%
Q3 2026$13.86+102%
Q2 2026$14.18+119%
Q1 2026$14.39+129%
Q4 2025$14.18+95%
Q3 2025$6.87-8.5%
Q2 2025$6.47-18%
Q1 2025$6.28-20%
Q4 2024$7.26+4%

SPG earned $13.86 per share over the past year, up 102% from the year before.

SPG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+13%
Q2 2026$1.8B+19%
Q1 2026$1.8B+19%
Q4 2025$1.8B+13%
Q3 2025$1.6B+8.2%
Q2 2025$1.5B+2.8%
Q1 2025$1.5B+2.1%
Q4 2024$1.6B+3.6%

SPG's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

SPG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $858MQ1 2024: $610MQ2 2024: $875MQ3 2024: $706MQ4 2024: $868MQ1 2025: $597MQ2 2025: $971MQ3 2025: $685MQ4 2025: $949MQ1 2026: $625MQ2 2026: $959MQ3 2026: $822M
Q4 2023: $858MQ1 2024: $610MQ2 2024: $875MQ3 2024: $706MQ4 2024: $868MQ1 2025: $597MQ2 2025: $971MQ3 2025: $685MQ4 2025: $949MQ1 2026: $625MQ2 2026: $959MQ3 2026: $822M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$822M+20%
Q2 2026$958.7M-1.3%
Q1 2026$625M+4.7%
Q4 2025$948.8M+9.4%
Q3 2025$685M-3%
Q2 2025$971.3M+11%
Q1 2025$597M-2.1%
Q4 2024$867.7M+1.1%

SPG's free cash flow was $3.4B over the past year, up 7.5% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like SPG.

SPG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 326MQ1 2024: 326MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 326MQ4 2024: 326MQ1 2025: 326MQ2 2025: 326MQ3 2025: 326MQ4 2025: 326MQ1 2026: 325MQ2 2026: 324MQ3 2026: 323M
Q4 2023: 326MQ1 2024: 326MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 326MQ4 2024: 326MQ1 2025: 326MQ2 2025: 326MQ3 2025: 326MQ4 2025: 326MQ1 2026: 325MQ2 2026: 324MQ3 2026: 323M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-647K shares
1 year-1%-3.1M shares
3 years-1.2%-3.8M shares
5 years-1.6%-5.2M shares
Available history+5.4%+16.5M shares

SPG has 323M diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago.

SPG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.1xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.7xQ3 2024: 5.4xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 5.6xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 6.1xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.7xQ3 2024: 5.4xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 5.6xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20265.6xHigh
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20256.0xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.4xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

SPG's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like SPG.

SPG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.4Neutral
Stochastic77.3Neutral

SPG's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

SPG PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricSPGSector medianRelative
PE17x24x29% below
PE %31238 pts above

SPG is trading at 17x earnings, a 29% discount to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

SPG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$212.89.8% above
20 week MA$216.57.9% above
50 week MA$204.514% above
100 week MA$187.525% above
200 week MA$162.144% above

SPG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 44% above its 200-week average.

SPG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$147.6$84.4-43%
2021$84.4$155.5+84%
2022$155.5$117.9-24%
2023$117.9$142.6+21%
2024$142.6$172.0+21%
2025$172.0$187.7+9.1%
2026 YTD$187.7$233.6+24%

SPG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 24% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key