SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over XRN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

XRN

Chiron Real Estate Inc.

56
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation92/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

XRN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

XRN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

XRN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like XRN.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63โ€”
Current28x$15.63โ€”
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

XRN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE232x465x697x930x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE232x465x697x930x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7.6x$26.58โ€”
Cheap36x$127+378%
Fair50x$173+550%
Expensive109x$381+1335%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

XRN has the edge over SOFI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over XRN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

XRN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect XRN's losses to grow, with revenue declining.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than XRN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XRN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$32.58
Downside-17%$22.11

Calculated from the latest close: $26.58 on Nov 12.

XRN trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over XRN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XRN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.15Q1 2024: $1.15Q2 2024: $0.00Q3 2024: $-0.10Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2025: $0.15Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $-0.91Q1 2026: $-1.12Q2 2026: $3.71Q3 2026: $3.49
Q4 2023: $1.15Q1 2024: $1.15Q2 2024: $0.00Q3 2024: $-0.10Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2025: $0.15Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $-0.91Q1 2026: $-1.12Q2 2026: $3.71Q3 2026: $3.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.49+$3.74
Q2 2026$3.71+960%
Q1 2026-$1.12-847%
Q4 2025-$0.91-1920%
Q3 2025-$0.25-$0.15
Q2 2025$0.35+$0.35
Q1 2025$0.15-87%
Q4 2024$0.05-96%

XRN has returned to profit: it earned $3.49 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over XRN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XRN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$40.3M+8.3%
Q2 2026$39.7M+4.7%
Q1 2026$38.1M+10%
Q4 2025$38.4M+9.2%
Q3 2025$37.2M+8.7%
Q2 2025$38M+11%
Q1 2025$34.6M-1.4%
Q4 2024$35.2M+6.7%

XRN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $40M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: โˆ’$521MQ3 2024: โˆ’$1.2BQ4 2024: โˆ’$242MQ1 2025: โˆ’$31MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1.5BQ3 2025: โˆ’$1.4BQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.4BQ2 2026: โˆ’$4BQ3 2026: โˆ’$3.1B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: โˆ’$521MQ3 2024: โˆ’$1.2BQ4 2024: โˆ’$242MQ1 2025: โˆ’$31MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1.5BQ3 2025: โˆ’$1.4BQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.4BQ2 2026: โˆ’$4BQ3 2026: โˆ’$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was โˆ’$10.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

XRN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.3M-53%
Q2 2026$19.5M-12%
Q1 2026$11.2M-8.7%
Q4 2025$21.6M+5.4%
Q3 2025$17.6M+7.8%
Q2 2025$22.1M+17%
Q1 2025$12.3M-14%
Q4 2024$20.5M+13%

XRN has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

XRN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5K shares
1 year-1.1%-153K shares
3 years+1%+127K shares
5 years+3.1%+399K shares
Available history+75%+5.7M shares

XRN has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

XRN Net Leverage

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

XRN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI25.3Oversold
Stochastic10.9Oversold

XRN's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

XRN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricXRNSector medianRelative
PE7.6x13x41% below
PE %06363 pts below

XRN has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has the edge over XRN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XRN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.215% below
20 week MA$34.523% below
50 week MA$34.824% below
100 week MA$35.525% below
200 week MA$41.336% below

XRN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 36% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to โˆ’69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

XRN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.6$67.0+3.7%
2021$67.0$85.8+28%
2022$85.8$46.9-45%
2023$46.9$55.5+18%
2024$55.5$38.1-31%
2025$38.1$33.5-12%
2026 YTD$33.5$26.6-21%

XRN has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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