SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over XP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
XP
XP Inc.
XP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
XP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
XP's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like XP.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
XP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.3x | $15.04 | — |
| Cheap | 10x | $18.35 | +22% |
| Fair | 15x | $27.61 | +84% |
| Expensive | 59x | $106 | +606% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
XP has the edge over SOFI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over XP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
XP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for XP, with profitability holding steady.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
XP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.81 | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.76 | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.74 | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.68 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.63 | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.55 | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.48 | +16% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.43 | +20% |
XP has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over XP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
XP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $894.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $826.4M | +6.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $906.4M | +6.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $822.2M | +5.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $784.5M | -6% |
| Q1 2025 | $773.3M | +3.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $850.9M | +16% |
| Q3 2024 | $779.6M | +1.3% |
XP's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $894M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 31% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 33% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 33% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 33% | +1.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | +3.5 points |
| Q3 2024 | 32% | +0.8 points |
XP has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
XP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +139% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.3M | +$599.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$437.1M | -164% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | +166% |
| Q2 2025 | $832.5M | -22% |
| Q1 2025 | -$475.2M | +$132.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $679M | -9.3% |
| Q3 2024 | $818M | +$1.1B |
XP has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
XP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -4.8M shares |
| 1 year | -2.8% | -15.3M shares |
| 3 years | -2.1% | -11M shares |
| 5 years | -9% | -51.7M shares |
| Available history | -5.7% | -31.3M shares |
XP has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $147.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $34.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $152.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $23.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $74.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $89.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $18.8M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
XP spent $359M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 96% from the year before.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over XP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
XP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 12.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 12.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 11.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 17.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 8.0x | High |
XP's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 10 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like XP.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
XP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 5.5 | Oversold |
XP's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
XP PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | XP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.3x | 13x | 36% below |
| PE % | 2 | 63 | 61 pts below |
XP has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has the edge over XP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
XP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $22.3 | 33% below |
| 20 week MA | $19.4 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.7 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.6 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $18.8 | 20% below |
XP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
XP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $37.7 | $38.5 | +2.1% |
| 2020 | $38.5 | $41.4 | +7.4% |
| 2021 | $41.4 | $29.8 | -28% |
| 2022 | $29.8 | $15.5 | -48% |
| 2023 | $15.5 | $26.1 | +68% |
| 2024 | $26.1 | $12.1 | -54% |
| 2025 | $12.1 | $16.4 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.4 | $15.0 | -8.5% |
XP has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.