SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over WTM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.

66
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

WTM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

WTM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

WTM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WTM.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over WTM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WTM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE772x1543x2315x3086x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE772x1543x2315x3086x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$1,792-20%
Current6x$2,247—
Fair8.2x$3,092+38%
Expensive24x$9,021+302%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WTM's PE is in its fair range at 6.0x.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

WTM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WTM to show an outlook.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WTM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WTM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$2,608.61
Downside-10%$2,019.92

Calculated from the latest close: $2,246.52 on Nov 12.

WTM trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over WTM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WTM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $198.60Q1 2024: $221.10Q2 2024: $192.21Q3 2024: $252.70Q4 2024: $89.79Q1 2025: $10.65Q2 2025: $79.64Q3 2025: $54.14Q4 2025: $430.14Q1 2026: $404.36Q2 2026: $437.19Q3 2026: $375.30
Q4 2023: $198.60Q1 2024: $221.10Q2 2024: $192.21Q3 2024: $252.70Q4 2024: $89.79Q1 2025: $10.65Q2 2025: $79.64Q3 2025: $54.14Q4 2025: $430.14Q1 2026: $404.36Q2 2026: $437.19Q3 2026: $375.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$375.30+593%
Q2 2026$437.19+449%
Q1 2026$404.36+3697%
Q4 2025$430.14+379%
Q3 2025$54.14-79%
Q2 2025$79.64-59%
Q1 2025$10.65-95%
Q4 2024$89.79-55%

WTM earned $375.30 per share over the past year, about seven times what it earned the year before.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over WTM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WTM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $737MQ1 2024: $647MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $578MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $864MQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $845MQ3 2026: $641M
Q4 2023: $737MQ1 2024: $647MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $578MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $864MQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $845MQ3 2026: $641M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$641.1M-26%
Q2 2026$844.6M+23%
Q1 2026$517.8M-10%
Q4 2025$1.6B+348%
Q3 2025$864.2M+3%
Q2 2025$689.2M+74%
Q1 2025$577.8M-11%
Q4 2024$358M-51%

WTM's revenue is growing: $641M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

WTM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $217MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $359MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: −$56MQ3 2026: $357M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $217MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $359MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: −$56MQ3 2026: $357M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$356.6M-0.8%
Q2 2026-$55.5M-131%
Q1 2026$30.5M+$70.7M
Q4 2025$53.9M-16%
Q3 2025$359.3M+33%
Q2 2025$177.5M-18%
Q1 2025-$40.2M-210%
Q4 2024$64.1M+162%

WTM has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

WTM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-52.5K shares
1 year-7.4%-187K shares
3 years-6.7%-168K shares
5 years-23%-697K shares
Available history-25%-786K shares

WTM has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over WTM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WTM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20240.9xVery low

WTM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WTM.

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

WTM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.9Neutral
Stochastic75.8Neutral

WTM's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

WTM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWTMSector medianRelative
PE6x13x54% below
PE %396324 pts below

WTM has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

WTM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2,156.74.2% above
20 week MA$2,143.84.8% above
50 week MA$2,134.05.3% above
100 week MA$1,986.913% above
200 week MA$1,803.225% above

WTM has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

WTM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1,098.0$985.8-10%
2021$985.8$1,012.4+2.7%
2022$1,012.4$1,394.8+38%
2023$1,394.8$1,505.0+7.9%
2024$1,505.0$1,918.7+27%
2025$1,918.7$2,062.3+7.5%
2026 YTD$2,062.3$2,246.5+8.9%

WTM has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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