SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over WAL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
WAL
Western Alliance Bancorporation
WAL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
WAL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
WAL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WAL.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over WAL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
WAL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.2x | $65.13 | -12% |
| Forward | 7.2x | $74.39 | — |
| Current | 8.2x | $74.39 | — |
| Fair | 9.4x | $84.88 | +14% |
| Expensive | 13x | $118 | +58% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WAL's PE is in its cheap range at 8.2x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.
WAL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WAL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
WAL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.33 | +14% |
| Q3 2026 | $9.05 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.88 | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.59 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.73 | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.08 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.60 | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.28 | +6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.09 | +8.4% |
WAL has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over WAL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
WAL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $995.7M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $980.9M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $938.2M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $845.9M | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $778M | +6.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $838.4M | +23% |
WAL's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 33% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 23% | -9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 36% | +5.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 31% | 0 points |
WAL has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
WAL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $769.9M | +$1.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$356.1M | +$1.6M |
| Q1 2026 | -$507.2M | +$1.1B |
| Q4 2025 | -$69.8M | +$551.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$597.4M | +$470.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$357.7M | +$388.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.7B | -$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$621.7M | -282% |
WAL has the edge over SOFI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
WAL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -200K shares |
| 1 year | -1.8% | -2M shares |
| 3 years | -0.6% | -700K shares |
| 5 years | +3.8% | +3.9M shares |
| Available history | +4.5% | +4.7M shares |
WAL has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $93.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $50.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $57.5M |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
WAL spent $203M buying back its own shares over the past year.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over WAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WAL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8x | High |
WAL's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WAL.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
WAL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.1 | Neutral |
WAL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
WAL PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | WAL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.2x | 13x | 37% below |
| PE % | 26 | 63 | 37 pts below |
WAL has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
WAL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $75.6 | 1.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $78.7 | 5.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $80.5 | 7.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $80.3 | 7.4% below |
| 200 week MA | $70.1 | 6.2% above |
WAL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 6.2% above its 200-week average.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
WAL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $57.0 | $59.9 | +5.1% |
| 2021 | $59.9 | $105.7 | +76% |
| 2022 | $105.7 | $58.1 | -45% |
| 2023 | $58.1 | $65.8 | +13% |
| 2024 | $65.8 | $83.7 | +27% |
| 2025 | $83.7 | $86.6 | +3.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.6 | $74.4 | -14% |
WAL has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.