SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over WAFD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

WAFD

WaFd, Inc.

52
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

WAFD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

WAFD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

WAFD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WAFD.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over WAFD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WAFD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$27.59-5.7%
Forward8.9x$29.27—
Current9.1x$29.27—
Fair11x$35.52+21%
Expensive14x$44.57+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WAFD's PE is 9.1x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over WAFD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

WAFD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect WAFD's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WAFD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WAFD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$33.55
Downside-13%$25.58

Calculated from the latest close: $29.27 on Nov 12.

WAFD trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

WAFD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $2.63Q4 2025: $2.88Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.16Forward: $3.28
Q3 2025: $2.63Q4 2025: $2.88Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.16Forward: $3.28

WAFD and SOFI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over WAFD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WAFD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $178MQ4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $172MQ2 2024: $194MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $180MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $188MQ4 2025: $191MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $206M
Q3 2023: $178MQ4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $172MQ2 2024: $194MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $180MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $188MQ4 2025: $191MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $206M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$205.5M+10%
Q1 2026$197.4M+9.8%
Q4 2025$191.4M+12%
Q3 2025$188.3M-0.2%
Q2 2025$186.3M-4.2%
Q1 2025$179.8M+4.5%
Q4 2024$171.1M+2.8%
Q3 2024$188.7M+6%

WAFD's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $206M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

WAFD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $63M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $63M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$63.4M+19%
Q1 2026$68M+2.1%
Q4 2025$50M+16%
Q3 2025$45.6M-49%
Q2 2025$53.1M-8.9%
Q1 2025$66.6M-60%
Q4 2024$43M-58%
Q2 2024$58.3M+189%

WAFD has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

WAFD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 65MQ4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 74M
Q3 2023: 65MQ4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-1.5M shares
1 year-7.3%-5.9M shares
3 years+14%+8.8M shares
5 years+3%+2.1M shares
Available history-8%-6.4M shares

WAFD has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over WAFD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WAFD Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -3.4xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -3.3xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: -2.6xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.0x
Q3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -3.4xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -3.3xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: -2.6xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash

WAFD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WAFD.

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

WAFD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.2Oversold
Stochastic12.3Oversold

WAFD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

WAFD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWAFDSector medianRelative
PE9.1x13x30% below
PE %216342 pts below

WAFD has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has the edge over WAFD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WAFD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.81.7% below
20 week MA$33.813% below
50 week MA$33.713% below
100 week MA$31.77.5% below
200 week MA$31.05.5% below

WAFD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.5% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

WAFD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.8$25.6-31%
2021$25.6$33.0+29%
2022$33.0$34.1+3.3%
2023$34.1$33.0-3.2%
2024$33.0$32.6-1.1%
2025$32.6$33.1+1.4%
2026 YTD$33.1$29.3-11%

WAFD has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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