SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over SPNT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
SPNT
SiriusPoint Ltd.
SPNT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
SPNT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SPNT's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SPNT.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over SPNT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SPNT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.5x | $14.23 | -47% |
| Current | 6.6x | $26.81 | — |
| Fair | 7.8x | $31.56 | +18% |
| Forward | 9.9x | $26.81 | — |
| Expensive | 19x | $78.26 | +192% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SPNT's PE is in its fair range at 6.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.9x.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over SPNT on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
SPNT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SPNT's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
SPNT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | -33% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.06 | +143% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.05 | +318% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.97 | +282% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.64 | +250% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.67 | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.97 | -48% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.04 | -37% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.04 | -47% |
SPNT earned $4.06 per share over the past year, up 143% from the year before.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over SPNT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over SPNT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SPNT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $867.6M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $744.1M | -0.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $774.6M | +6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $973.7M | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $755.9M | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $748.2M | +0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $727.3M | +6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $612.8M | -5.1% |
SPNT's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $868M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +5.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +31 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | -7.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -5.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2.1% | -1.8 points |
SPNT's operating margin was 12% last quarter, down 2.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
SPNT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $170M | +9.3% |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.2M | -108% |
| Q1 2026 | $141.9M | +$230.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.4M | -125% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.6M | +168% |
| Q2 2025 | $62.1M | +$209M |
| Q1 2025 | -$88.9M | -259% |
| Q4 2024 | $107.7M | -50% |
SPNT has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
SPNT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -1.8M shares |
| 1 year | -1.4% | -1.7M shares |
| 3 years | -30% | -51.3M shares |
| 5 years | -27% | -43.1M shares |
| Available history | +26% | +24.5M shares |
SPNT has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $51.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $21.9M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $490.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $170M |
SPNT spent $101M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 85% from the year before.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
SPNT Net Leverage
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
SPNT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.7 | Overbought |
SPNT's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SPNT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SPNT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.6x | 13x | 49% below |
| PE % | 38 | 63 | 25 pts below |
SPNT has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
SPNT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.6 | 4.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $24.8 | 8.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $23.0 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $20.3 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.8 | 70% above |
SPNT has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
SPNT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.5 | $9.26 | -12% |
| 2021 | $9.26 | $8.25 | -11% |
| 2022 | $8.25 | $6.25 | -24% |
| 2023 | $6.25 | $11.6 | +86% |
| 2024 | $11.6 | $14.2 | +23% |
| 2025 | $14.2 | $22.3 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $22.3 | $26.8 | +20% |
SPNT has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.