SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over SPGI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
SPGI
S&P Global Inc.
SPGI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
SPGI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SPGI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SPGI.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over SPGI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SPGI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 24x | $469 | — |
| Cheap | 28x | $474 | +1.2% |
| Current | 28x | $469 | — |
| Fair | 36x | $613 | +31% |
| Expensive | 48x | $807 | +72% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SPGI's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over SPGI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SPGI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SPGI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
SPGI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $19.42 | +15% |
| Q3 2026 | $16.82 | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.43 | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.81 | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.66 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.75 | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.00 | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.73 | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.35 | +50% |
SPGI has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over SPGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
SPGI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | -5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.1B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.2B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.9B | +9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.9B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.8B | +5.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.8B | +8.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.6B | +14% |
SPGI's revenue is growing: $3.7B last quarter, down 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 53% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +2.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 48% | +6.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +6.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 43% | +3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 42% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 36% | +8.2 points |
SPGI has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
SPGI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7B | -0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B | +3.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | -9.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $910M | -1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +33% |
SPGI has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
SPGI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -3.9M shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -12.9M shares |
| 3 years | -8.3% | -26.4M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +49.9M shares |
| Available history | +18% | +44.7M shares |
SPGI has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6B |
| Q2 2026 | $500M |
| Q1 2026 | $1B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2025 | $651M |
| Q1 2025 | $650M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B |
SPGI spent $6.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 74% from the year before.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over SPGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SPGI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
SPGI's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SPGI.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
SPGI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.6 | Overbought |
SPGI's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SPGI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SPGI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 15 | 63 | 48 pts below |
SPGI has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
SPGI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $435.0 | 7.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $430.0 | 9% above |
| 50 week MA | $442.2 | 6% above |
| 100 week MA | $475.5 | 1.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $448.6 | 4.4% above |
SPGI has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
SPGI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $274.3 | $316.6 | +15% |
| 2021 | $316.6 | $473.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $473.7 | $332.9 | -30% |
| 2023 | $332.9 | $440.5 | +32% |
| 2024 | $440.5 | $501.8 | +14% |
| 2025 | $501.8 | $529.5 | +5.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $529.5 | $468.5 | -12% |
SPGI has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.