SOBO

South Bow Corporation

58
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SOBO's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 34% of its revenue into free cash flow, while revenue grew 6.6%. At 19x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 18x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SOBO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Weak

SOBO's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

SOBO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.5x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.5x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$29.20-12%
Fair18x$31.30-6%
Forward18x$33.29—
Current19x$33.29—
Expensive22x$37.58+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOBO's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SOBO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SOBO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SOBO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$40.88
Downside-14%$28.52

Calculated from the latest close: $33.29 on Nov 12.

SOBO's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +23% against −14%.

SOBO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.91Q1 2024: $1.85Q2 2024: $1.46Q3 2024: $1.36Q4 2024: $1.22Q1 2025: $1.26Q2 2025: $1.42Q3 2025: $1.67Q4 2025: $1.59Q1 2026: $1.54Q2 2026: $1.72Forward: $1.87
Q4 2023: $1.91Q1 2024: $1.85Q2 2024: $1.46Q3 2024: $1.36Q4 2024: $1.22Q1 2025: $1.26Q2 2025: $1.42Q3 2025: $1.67Q4 2025: $1.59Q1 2026: $1.54Q2 2026: $1.72Forward: $1.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.87+8.6%
Q2 2026$1.72+21%
Q1 2026$1.54+22%
Q4 2025$1.59+30%
Q3 2025$1.67+23%
Q2 2025$1.42-2.7%
Q1 2025$1.26-32%
Q4 2024$1.22-36%

SOBO earned $1.72 per share over the past year, up 21% from the year before.

SOBO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $370MQ4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $381MQ2 2024: $389MQ3 2024: $379MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $524MQ3 2025: $461MQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $491MQ2 2026: $546M
Q3 2023: $370MQ4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $381MQ2 2024: $389MQ3 2024: $379MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $524MQ3 2025: $461MQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $491MQ2 2026: $546M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$546M+4.2%
Q1 2026$491M-1.4%
Q4 2025$503M+5.5%
Q3 2025$461M+22%
Q2 2025$524M+35%
Q1 2025$498M+31%
Q4 2024$476.9M0%
Q3 2024$378.8M+2.4%

SOBO's revenue is growing: $546M last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOBO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $197MQ4 2023: $209MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $68MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $254MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $237M
Q3 2023: $197MQ4 2023: $209MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $68MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $254MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $237M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$237M+45%
Q1 2026$156.8M+69%
Q4 2025$253.5M+$310.1M
Q3 2025$34.8M-83%
Q2 2025$163.9M+140%
Q1 2025$92.7M-2.8%
Q4 2024-$56.6M-127%
Q3 2024$204M+3.8%

SOBO generated $682M in free cash flow over the past year, up 69% from the year before.

SOBO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 208MQ4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 208MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 208MQ1 2025: 209MQ2 2025: 209MQ3 2025: 209MQ4 2025: 208MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 209M
Q3 2023: 208MQ4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 208MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 208MQ1 2025: 209MQ2 2025: 209MQ3 2025: 209MQ4 2025: 208MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 209M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year0%--
3 years+0.6%+1.2M shares

SOBO has 209M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SOBO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.4xQ1 2024: 5.8xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 6.4xQ1 2024: 5.8xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.9xHigh
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20244.8xHigh
Q3 20244.2xHigh

SOBO's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.2 years a year ago.

SOBO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.9Neutral
Stochastic27.1Neutral

SOBO's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SOBO PE vs Energy Sector

MetricSOBOSector medianRelative
PE19x13x47% above
PE %663531 pts above

SOBO is trading at 19x earnings, a 47% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

SOBO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.91.9% below
20 week MA$35.66.5% below
50 week MA$33.50.7% below
100 week MA$29.712% above

SOBO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 12% above its 100-week average.

SOBO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$22.1$23.5+6.4%
2025$23.5$28.3+21%
2026 YTD$28.3$33.3+17%

SOBO has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's up 17% so far in 2026.

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