SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
SNOW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSM has the edge over SNOW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
SNOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
SNOW's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TSM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Strong |
TSM's balance sheet is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, profitability and cash flow.
SNOW PE Valuation
SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSM PE Valuation
TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SNOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNOW, with profitability improving.
TSM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TSM, with profitability improving.
SNOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.74 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$3.18 | +$0.96 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.52 | +$0.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.95 | -$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.03 | -$0.64 |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.14 | -$1.08 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.20 | -$1.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.86 | -$1.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.39 | -$0.71 |
SNOW is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.18 per share over the past year, against $4.20 at its worst in early 2025.
TSM Earnings Per Share
TSM and SNOW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
SNOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $986.8M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $942.1M | +28% |
SNOW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | -23% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | -25% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -27% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | -30% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -43% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -39% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | -3.3 points |
SNOW's operating margin was −17% last quarter, up 13 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
TSM Quarterly Revenue
TSM and SNOW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 59% | +8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 60% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 58% | +9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 54% | +5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 51% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 50% | +7.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 49% | +6.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 49% | +7.4 points |
TSM has the edge over SNOW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SNOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $83.8M | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $232.8M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $765.1M | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.6M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $58.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2025 | $183.4M | -46% |
| Q1 2025 | $421.4M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $88.3M | -21% |
SNOW generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 59% from the year before.
TSM Free Cash Flow
TSM and SNOW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
SNOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +3.9M shares |
| 1 year | +4.2% | +14M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +21.9M shares |
| 5 years | +17% | +51.5M shares |
| Available history | +47% | +111M shares |
SNOW has 349M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $300M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M |
| Q4 2025 | $232.9M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $490.6M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1B |
SNOW spent $683M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 55% from the year before.
TSM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +45.8K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +391K shares |
| 3 years | 0% | +528K shares |
| 5 years | 0% | +324K shares |
| Available history | 0% | +324K shares |
TSM has the edge over SNOW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
SNOW Net Leverage
SNOW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TSM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
TSM has more cash than debt.
SNOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.2 | Neutral |
SNOW's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).
TSM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.9 | Neutral |
TSM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
SNOW PE vs Technology Sector
SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TSM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 3.3% below |
| PE % | 45 | 35 | 10 pts above |
TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SNOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $319.9 | 6.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $311.5 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $238.6 | 25% above |
| 100 week MA | $218.8 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $187.5 | 59% above |
SNOW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 59% above its 200-week average.
TSM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $424.4 | 4.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $422.4 | 4% below |
| 50 week MA | $386.5 | 4.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $304.5 | 33% above |
| 200 week MA | $215.6 | 88% above |
TSM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 88% above its 200-week average.
SNOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $240.0 | $323.0 | +35% |
| 2021 | $323.0 | $349.2 | +8.1% |
| 2022 | $349.2 | $138.5 | -60% |
| 2023 | $138.5 | $199.0 | +44% |
| 2024 | $199.0 | $158.7 | -20% |
| 2025 | $158.7 | $223.9 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $223.9 | $298.7 | +33% |
SNOW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 33% so far in 2026.
TSM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $58.5 | $106.0 | +81% |
| 2021 | $106.0 | $120.7 | +14% |
| 2022 | $120.7 | $74.9 | -38% |
| 2023 | $74.9 | $104.0 | +39% |
| 2024 | $104.0 | $201.6 | +94% |
| 2025 | $201.6 | $302.8 | +50% |
| 2026 YTD | $302.8 | $405.5 | +34% |
TSM has the edge over SNOW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.