SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
SNOW offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
STX has the edge over SNOW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
SNOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
SNOW's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
STX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
SNOW PE Valuation
SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.9x | $188 | -65% |
| Forward | 12x | $545 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $318 | -42% |
| Current | 29x | $545 | — |
| Expensive | 43x | $823 | +51% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SNOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNOW, with profitability improving.
STX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STX, with profitability improving.
SNOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.74 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$3.18 | +$0.96 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.52 | +$0.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.95 | -$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.03 | -$0.64 |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.14 | -$1.08 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.20 | -$1.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.86 | -$1.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.39 | -$0.71 |
SNOW is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.18 per share over the past year, against $4.20 at its worst in early 2025.
STX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.99 | +147% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.06 | +145% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.90 | +105% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.54 | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.84 | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.79 | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.77 | +328% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.96 | +$8.26 |
| Q4 2024 | $5.51 | +$9.02 |
STX has the edge over SNOW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SNOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $986.8M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $942.1M | +28% |
SNOW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | -23% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | -25% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -27% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | -30% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -43% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -39% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | -3.3 points |
SNOW's operating margin was −17% last quarter, up 13 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
STX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +50% |
STX has the edge over SNOW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 43% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 30% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +13 points |
STX has the edge over SNOW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SNOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $83.8M | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $232.8M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $765.1M | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.6M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $58.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2025 | $183.4M | -46% |
| Q1 2025 | $421.4M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $88.3M | -21% |
SNOW generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 59% from the year before.
STX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +246% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +163% |
| Q1 2026 | $953M | +341% |
| Q4 2025 | $607M | +305% |
| Q3 2025 | $427M | +1481% |
| Q2 2025 | $425M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $216M | +69% |
| Q4 2024 | $150M | +52% |
STX has the edge over SNOW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SNOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +3.9M shares |
| 1 year | +4.2% | +14M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +21.9M shares |
| 5 years | +17% | +51.5M shares |
| Available history | +47% | +111M shares |
SNOW has 349M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $300M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M |
| Q4 2025 | $232.9M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $490.6M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1B |
SNOW spent $683M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 55% from the year before.
STX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +3M shares |
| 1 year | +2.7% | +6M shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +24M shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +1M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -33M shares |
STX has the edge over SNOW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $400M |
| Q2 2026 | $117M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $29M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
STX spent $547M buying back its own shares over the past year.
SNOW Net Leverage
SNOW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
STX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
STX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
SNOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.2 | Neutral |
SNOW's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).
STX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.3 | Oversold |
STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
SNOW PE vs Technology Sector
SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | STX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 28x | 2.7% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
STX is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SNOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $319.9 | 6.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $311.5 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $238.6 | 25% above |
| 100 week MA | $218.8 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $187.5 | 59% above |
SNOW has the edge over STX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
STX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $683.6 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $785.0 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.7 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $387.3 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $234.4 | 133% above |
STX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.
SNOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $240.0 | $323.0 | +35% |
| 2021 | $323.0 | $349.2 | +8.1% |
| 2022 | $349.2 | $138.5 | -60% |
| 2023 | $138.5 | $199.0 | +44% |
| 2024 | $199.0 | $158.7 | -20% |
| 2025 | $158.7 | $223.9 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $223.9 | $298.7 | +33% |
SNOW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 33% so far in 2026.
STX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.6 | $63.0 | +5.7% |
| 2021 | $63.0 | $111.4 | +77% |
| 2022 | $111.4 | $50.5 | -55% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $85.4 | +69% |
| 2024 | $85.4 | $87.4 | +2.4% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $286.2 | +228% |
| 2026 YTD | $286.2 | $545.1 | +90% |
STX has the edge over SNOW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.