SNDL

SNDL Inc.

56
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

SNDL offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over SNDL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

SNDL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

SNDL's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

SNDL PE Valuation

SNDL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SNDL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect SNDL's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UNH has the edge over SNDL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

SNDL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$1.90
Downside-27%$1.01

Calculated from the latest close: $1.39 on Nov 12.

SNDL trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SNDL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNDL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.46Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.26Q1 2025: $-0.29Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $-0.05Q1 2026: $-0.04Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.18
Q4 2023: $-0.46Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.26Q1 2025: $-0.29Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $-0.05Q1 2026: $-0.04Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.18+$0.07
Q2 2026-$0.07+$0.20
Q1 2026-$0.04+$0.25
Q4 2025-$0.05+$0.21
Q3 2025-$0.25+$0.04
Q2 2025-$0.27+$0.03
Q1 2025-$0.29+$0.08
Q4 2024-$0.26+$0.20

SNDL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.18 per share over the past year, against $23.08 at its worst in mid-2020.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over SNDL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SNDL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $175MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $167MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $178MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $166MQ3 2026: $166M
Q4 2023: $175MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $167MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $178MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $166MQ3 2026: $166M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$165.7M-3.5%
Q2 2026$165.8M-3.7%
Q1 2026$137.7M-4.4%
Q4 2025$177.5M-2%
Q3 2025$171.7M+3.1%
Q2 2025$172.1M+7.3%
Q1 2025$144.1M+3.6%
Q4 2024$181.2M+3.7%

SNDL's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $166M last quarter, down 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over SNDL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNDL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $582,818Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $592,660Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $582,818Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $592,660Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.1M-35%
Q2 2026$1.3M-53%
Q1 2026$592.7K-86%
Q4 2025$15M+2.5%
Q3 2025$18.6M+42%
Q2 2025$2.8M+15%
Q1 2025$4.4M+648%
Q4 2024$14.6M+84%

SNDL generated $29M in free cash flow over the past year, down 28% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

SNDL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 263MQ1 2024: 263MQ2 2024: 264MQ3 2024: 265MQ4 2024: 263MQ1 2025: 259MQ2 2025: 263MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 263MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 247M
Q4 2023: 263MQ1 2024: 263MQ2 2024: 264MQ3 2024: 265MQ4 2024: 263MQ1 2025: 259MQ2 2025: 263MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 263MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 247M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.8%-9.7M shares
1 year-4%-10.4M shares
3 years-5.2%-13.5M shares
5 years+20%+41.3M shares
Available history+2217%+236M shares

SNDL has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

SNDL Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash

SNDL has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SNDL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.8Neutral
Stochastic66.2Neutral

SNDL's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

SNDL PE vs Healthcare Sector

SNDL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SNDL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.316.1% above
20 week MA$1.316.1% above
50 week MA$1.454.1% below
100 week MA$1.6013% below
200 week MA$1.6918% below

SNDL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 18% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over SNDL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SNDL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.7$4.73-79%
2021$4.73$6.70+42%
2022$6.70$2.08-69%
2023$2.08$1.64-21%
2024$1.64$1.79+9.1%
2025$1.79$1.73-3.4%
2026 YTD$1.73$1.39-20%

SNDL has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over SNDL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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