SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails SMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR has the edge over TSLA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$204MQ1 2026: −$316MQ2 2026: −$59MQ3 2026: −$29M
Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$204MQ1 2026: −$316MQ2 2026: −$59MQ3 2026: −$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

TSLA has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 34% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to −67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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