SMR
NuScale Power Corporation
SMR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
STX has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SMR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
STX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
SMR PE Valuation
SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.9x | $188 | -65% |
| Forward | 12x | $545 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $318 | -42% |
| Current | 29x | $545 | — |
| Expensive | 43x | $823 | +51% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SMR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
STX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STX, with profitability improving.
SMR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.72 | +$2.14 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.46 | -$1.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.46 | -$1.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.43 | -$0.96 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.86 | -$1.91 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.19 | -$0.16 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.37 | -$0.52 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.47 | -$0.67 |
SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.
STX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.99 | +147% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.06 | +145% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.90 | +105% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.54 | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.84 | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.79 | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.77 | +328% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.96 | +$8.26 |
| Q4 2024 | $5.51 | +$9.02 |
STX has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SMR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $281K | -97% |
| Q2 2026 | $75K | -99% |
| Q1 2026 | $565K | -96% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8M | -95% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.2M | +1635% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.1M | +733% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.4M | +870% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.2M | +651% |
SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -23068% | -16535 points |
| Q2 2026 | -85337% | -84802 points |
| Q1 2026 | -10181% | -9917 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4022% | -3988 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6533% | +2103 points |
| Q2 2025 | -535% | +3796 points |
| Q1 2025 | -264% | +2925 points |
| Q4 2024 | -35% | +1524 points |
SMR's operating margin was −23068% last quarter, down 16535 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2022.
STX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +50% |
STX's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $4.2B last quarter, up 61% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 43% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 30% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +13 points |
STX has the edge over SMR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$58.6M | -$25.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$316.2M | -$293.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$204.1M | -$177.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$33.3M | +$2.7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.9M | +$10.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.5M | +$46.8M |
| Q3 2024 | -$12.7M | +$15M |
| Q2 2024 | -$36M | +$4.5M |
STX has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 280% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.
STX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +246% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +163% |
| Q1 2026 | $953M | +341% |
| Q4 2025 | $607M | +305% |
| Q3 2025 | $427M | +1481% |
| Q2 2025 | $425M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $216M | +69% |
| Q4 2024 | $150M | +52% |
STX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $4.2B over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before.
SMR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +45.9M shares |
| 1 year | +178% | +263M shares |
| 3 years | +448% | +336M shares |
SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
STX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +3M shares |
| 1 year | +2.7% | +6M shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +24M shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +1M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -33M shares |
STX has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $400M |
| Q2 2026 | $117M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $29M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
STX spent $547M buying back its own shares over the past year.
SMR Net Leverage
SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
STX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
STX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
SMR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 8.6 | Oversold |
SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
STX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.3 | Oversold |
STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
SMR PE vs Utilities Sector
SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | STX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 28x | 2.7% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
STX is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SMR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.26 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.88 | 39% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.4 | 58% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.2 | 76% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.4 | 67% below |
SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.
STX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $683.6 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $785.0 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.7 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $387.3 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $234.4 | 133% above |
STX has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.1 | $10.3 | +1.2% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $10.1 | -1.9% |
| 2022 | $10.1 | $10.1 | +0.5% |
| 2023 | $10.1 | $3.29 | -67% |
| 2024 | $3.29 | $19.5 | +493% |
| 2025 | $19.5 | $14.9 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.9 | $4.82 | -68% |
SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to −67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.
STX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.6 | $63.0 | +5.7% |
| 2021 | $63.0 | $111.4 | +77% |
| 2022 | $111.4 | $50.5 | -55% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $85.4 | +69% |
| 2024 | $85.4 | $87.4 | +2.4% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $286.2 | +228% |
| 2026 YTD | $286.2 | $545.1 | +90% |
STX has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.