SMPL

The Simply Good Foods Company

44
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

SMPL lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

SMPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy
Healthy

SMPL's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

SMPL PE Valuation

SMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SMPL's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$18.19
Downside-31%$8.71

Calculated from the latest close: $12.65 on Nov 12.

SMPL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +44% against −31%.

SMPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.45Q3 2024: $1.38Q4 2024: $1.41Q1 2025: $1.44Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.02Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $-1.19Q2 2026: $-2.17Q3 2026: $-1.69Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.45Q3 2024: $1.38Q4 2024: $1.41Q1 2025: $1.44Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.02Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $-1.19Q2 2026: $-2.17Q3 2026: $-1.69Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53—
Q3 2026-$1.69-266%
Q2 2026-$2.17-252%
Q1 2026-$1.19-183%
Q4 2025$0.90-36%
Q3 2025$1.02-26%
Q2 2025$1.43-1.4%
Q1 2025$1.44+3.6%
Q4 2024$1.41+7.6%

SMPL has swung to a loss: it lost $1.69 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

SMPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $309MQ1 2024: $312MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $376MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $360MQ2 2025: $381MQ3 2025: $369MQ4 2025: $340MQ1 2026: $326MQ2 2026: $357MQ3 2026: $333M
Q4 2023: $309MQ1 2024: $312MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $376MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $360MQ2 2025: $381MQ3 2025: $369MQ4 2025: $340MQ1 2026: $326MQ2 2026: $357MQ3 2026: $333M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$333.3M-9.7%
Q2 2026$357M-6.3%
Q1 2026$326M-9.4%
Q4 2025$340.2M-0.3%
Q3 2025$369M-1.8%
Q2 2025$381M+14%
Q1 2025$359.7M+15%
Q4 2024$341.3M+11%

SMPL's revenue is shrinking: $333M last quarter, down 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$64.9M+137%
Q2 2026$41.5M-39%
Q1 2026$2.6M-92%
Q4 2025$48M+51%
Q3 2025$27.3M-39%
Q2 2025$68.1M-5.4%
Q1 2025$30.8M-33%
Q4 2024$31.7M-32%

SMPL generated $157M in free cash flow over the past year, about the same as the year before.

SMPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 102MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 102MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+2.4M shares
1 year-9%-9.1M shares
3 years-8.4%-8.5M shares
5 years-5.1%-5M shares
Available history+3%+2.7M shares

SMPL has 92M diluted shares, down 9% from a year ago, with $213M in buybacks over the past year.

SMPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low
Q3 20241.2xHealthy
Q2 20240.1xVery low
Q1 20240.4xVery low

SMPL's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.

SMPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.8Neutral
Stochastic72.8Neutral

SMPL's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

SMPL PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricSMPLSector medianRelative
PEN/A19x—

SMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.916% above
20 week MA$11.015% above
50 week MA$13.77.7% below
100 week MA$22.644% below
200 week MA$29.457% below

SMPL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 57% below its 200-week average.

SMPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.5$29.9+5%
2021$29.9$40.8+36%
2022$40.8$38.0-6.8%
2023$38.0$39.6+4.2%
2024$39.6$38.8-2%
2025$38.8$20.0-48%
2026 YTD$20.0$12.7-37%

SMPL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 37% so far in 2026.

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