SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

85
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

SMCI has the edge over UBER overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.

60
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential17/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

UBER's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SMCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Strong

SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.

UBER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

SMCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.3x$26.99—
Current5.7x$26.99—
Cheap13x$61.50+128%
Fair19x$88.86+229%
Expensive26x$125+363%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMCI has the edge over UBER in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UBER PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$26.01-62%
Fair17x$29.70-57%
Forward17x$69.12—
Current40x$69.12—
Expensive93x$160+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UBER's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SMCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UBER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UBER, with profitability improving.

SMCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+268%$99.45
Downside-29%$19.23

Calculated from the latest close: $26.99 on Nov 12.

SMCI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UBER, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UBER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.80
Downside-49%$35.31

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

UBER trails SMCI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SMCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.22+31%
Q3 2026$4.75+274%
Q2 2026$3.26+94%
Q1 2026$1.91+4.4%
Q4 2025$1.36-41%
Q3 2025$1.27-45%
Q2 2025$1.68-13%
Q1 2025$1.83+2.8%
Q4 2024$2.32+81%

SMCI's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.75 over the past year, up from $1.27 the year before.

UBER Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.07+138%
Q3 2026$1.71-78%
Q2 2026$4.57-22%
Q1 2026$4.03-29%
Q4 2025$4.73+3.7%
Q3 2025$7.78+285%
Q2 2025$5.87+538%
Q1 2025$5.71+806%
Q4 2024$4.56+424%

UBER has the edge over SMCI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SMCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.9B+298%
Q2 2026$11.1B+93%
Q1 2026$10.2B+123%
Q4 2025$12.7B+123%
Q3 2025$5B-15%
Q2 2025$5.8B+7.5%
Q1 2025$4.6B+19%
Q4 2024$5.7B+55%

SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.

UBER Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.8B+9.6%
Q2 2026$14.2B+12%
Q1 2026$13.2B+14%
Q4 2025$14.4B+20%
Q3 2025$13.5B+20%
Q2 2025$12.7B+18%
Q1 2025$11.5B+14%
Q4 2024$12B+20%

UBER's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $14.8B last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$475.6M+$474.2M
Q2 2026$718.7M-15%
Q1 2026-$6.7B-1227%
Q4 2025-$45.1M+$222.2M
Q3 2025-$949.8M-360%
Q2 2025$840.9M+$1.5B
Q1 2025$594.1M+$2.2B
Q4 2024-$267.3M+$342.5M

SMCI's free cash flow was −$6.5B over the past year, against $218M the year before.

UBER Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+14%
Q2 2026$2.8B+13%
Q1 2026$2.3B+1.6%
Q4 2025$2.8B+65%
Q3 2025$2.2B+5.7%
Q2 2025$2.5B+44%
Q1 2025$2.3B+66%
Q4 2024$1.7B+122%

UBER has the edge over SMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SMCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.5%+52M shares
1 year+13%+86.1M shares
3 years+31%+178M shares
5 years+42%+220M shares
Available history+44%+229M shares

SMCI has 749M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

UBER Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+99K shares
1 year-3.5%-74.1M shares
3 years-2.8%-58.2M shares
5 years+8%+151M shares
Available history+19%+326M shares

UBER has the edge over SMCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMCI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SMCI has the edge over UBER on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UBER Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

UBER's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SMCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

UBER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

SMCI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSMCISector medianRelative
PE5.7x28x80% below
PE %03535 pts below

SMCI has the edge over UBER on valuation relative to its sector.

UBER PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUBERSector medianRelative
PE40x28x45% above
PE %683533 pts above

UBER is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SMCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.323% below
20 week MA$34.221% below
50 week MA$32.317% below
100 week MA$36.927% below
200 week MA$39.832% below

SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

UBER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$68.70.7% above
20 week MA$71.73.6% below
50 week MA$74.47.1% below
100 week MA$78.912% below
200 week MA$67.91.8% above

UBER has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.41$3.05+27%
2021$3.05$4.27+40%
2022$4.27$8.22+93%
2023$8.22$28.4+246%
2024$28.4$32.0+12%
2025$32.0$30.6-4.2%
2026 YTD$30.6$27.0-12%

SMCI has the edge over UBER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UBER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.2$52.9+75%
2021$52.9$43.9-17%
2022$43.9$24.6-44%
2023$24.6$61.6+150%
2024$61.6$61.1-0.7%
2025$61.1$81.3+33%
2026 YTD$81.3$69.1-15%

UBER's yearly returns have swung widely, from +150% in 2023 to −44% in 2022. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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