SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI has the edge over SNOW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
SNOW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SMCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.
SNOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
SNOW's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SMCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.3x | $26.99 | — |
| Current | 5.7x | $26.99 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $61.50 | +128% |
| Fair | 19x | $88.86 | +229% |
| Expensive | 26x | $125 | +363% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMCI's PE is in its cheap range at 5.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.3x next year's earnings.
SNOW PE Valuation
SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SNOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNOW, with profitability improving.
SMCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.22 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.75 | +274% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.26 | +94% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.91 | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.27 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.68 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.32 | +81% |
SMCI has the edge over SNOW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SNOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.74 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$3.18 | +$0.96 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.52 | +$0.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.95 | -$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.03 | -$0.64 |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.14 | -$1.08 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.20 | -$1.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.86 | -$1.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.39 | -$0.71 |
SNOW is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.18 per share over the past year, against $4.20 at its worst in early 2025.
SMCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.9B | +298% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.2B | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.7B | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +55% |
SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | -3.7 points |
SMCI has the edge over SNOW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SNOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $986.8M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $942.1M | +28% |
SNOW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | -23% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | -25% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -27% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | -30% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -43% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -39% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | -3.3 points |
SNOW's operating margin was −17% last quarter, up 13 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
SMCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$475.6M | +$474.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $718.7M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.7B | -1227% |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.1M | +$222.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$949.8M | -360% |
| Q2 2025 | $840.9M | +$1.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $594.1M | +$2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | -$267.3M | +$342.5M |
SMCI's free cash flow was −$6.5B over the past year, against $218M the year before.
SNOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $83.8M | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $232.8M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $765.1M | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.6M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $58.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2025 | $183.4M | -46% |
| Q1 2025 | $421.4M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $88.3M | -21% |
SNOW has the edge over SMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SMCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.5% | +52M shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +86.1M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +178M shares |
| 5 years | +42% | +220M shares |
| Available history | +44% | +229M shares |
SMCI has 749M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $12M |
| Q1 2021 | $43.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $46.4M |
SNOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +3.9M shares |
| 1 year | +4.2% | +14M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +21.9M shares |
| 5 years | +17% | +51.5M shares |
| Available history | +47% | +111M shares |
SNOW has the edge over SMCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $300M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M |
| Q4 2025 | $232.9M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $490.6M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1B |
SNOW spent $683M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 55% from the year before.
SMCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
SMCI has more cash than debt.
SNOW Net Leverage
SNOW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SMCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.1 | Oversold |
SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
SNOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.2 | Neutral |
SNOW's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).
SMCI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.7x | 28x | 80% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
SMCI is trading at 5.7x earnings, a 80% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SNOW PE vs Technology Sector
SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.3 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.2 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $32.3 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.9 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.8 | 32% below |
SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
SNOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $319.9 | 6.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $311.5 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $238.6 | 25% above |
| 100 week MA | $218.8 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $187.5 | 59% above |
SNOW has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.41 | $3.05 | +27% |
| 2021 | $3.05 | $4.27 | +40% |
| 2022 | $4.27 | $8.22 | +93% |
| 2023 | $8.22 | $28.4 | +246% |
| 2024 | $28.4 | $32.0 | +12% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $30.6 | -4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.6 | $27.0 | -12% |
SMCI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.
SNOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $240.0 | $323.0 | +35% |
| 2021 | $323.0 | $349.2 | +8.1% |
| 2022 | $349.2 | $138.5 | -60% |
| 2023 | $138.5 | $199.0 | +44% |
| 2024 | $199.0 | $158.7 | -20% |
| 2025 | $158.7 | $223.9 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $223.9 | $298.7 | +33% |
SNOW has the edge over SMCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.