SKY

Champion Homes, Inc.

49
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

SKY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has a slight edge over SKY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

SKY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Strong

SKY's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

SKY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x37x49x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x37x49x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$38.27-59%
Fair23x$77.11-16%
Current27x$92.29—
Expensive34x$115+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SKY has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SKY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SKY to show an outlook.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SKY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$114.18
Downside-31%$63.25

Calculated from the latest close: $92.29 on Nov 12.

SKY trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SKY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SKY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.50Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $2.58Q4 2024: $2.83Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.76Q3 2025: $3.85Q4 2025: $3.76Q1 2026: $3.66Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $3.36
Q4 2023: $3.50Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $2.58Q4 2024: $2.83Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.76Q3 2025: $3.85Q4 2025: $3.76Q1 2026: $3.66Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $3.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.36-13%
Q2 2026$3.42-9%
Q1 2026$3.66+7%
Q4 2025$3.76+33%
Q3 2025$3.85+49%
Q2 2025$3.76+55%
Q1 2025$3.42+35%
Q4 2024$2.83-19%

SKY has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

SKY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $628MQ3 2024: $617MQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $701MQ3 2025: $684MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $621MQ2 2026: $710MQ3 2026: $727M
Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $628MQ3 2024: $617MQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $701MQ3 2025: $684MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $621MQ2 2026: $710MQ3 2026: $727M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$727M+6.2%
Q2 2026$710.2M+1.3%
Q1 2026$621.3M+4.6%
Q4 2025$656.6M+1.8%
Q3 2025$684.4M+11%
Q2 2025$701.3M+12%
Q1 2025$593.9M+11%
Q4 2024$644.9M+15%

SKY has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SKY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.8M-54%
Q2 2026$62.6M-5.7%
Q1 2026$43.5M+30%
Q4 2025$92.9M+149%
Q3 2025$67M+46%
Q2 2025$66.4M-10%
Q1 2025$33.4M+$41.3M
Q4 2024$37.3M-48%

SKY has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

SKY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 54M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 54M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-680K shares
1 year-3.9%-2.2M shares
3 years-5.6%-3.2M shares
5 years-4.8%-2.7M shares
Available history-4.1%-2.3M shares

SKY has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SKY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.4xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.4xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

SKY has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

SKY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.3Neutral
Stochastic66.0Neutral

SKY's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

SKY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSKYSector medianRelative
PE27x18x52% above
PE %634716 pts above

SKY has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SKY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.18.5% above
20 week MA$85.87.6% above
50 week MA$83.710% above
100 week MA$82.312% above
200 week MA$78.518% above

SKY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

SKY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.4$31.7+0.7%
2021$31.7$76.2+141%
2022$76.2$52.6-31%
2023$52.6$74.3+41%
2024$74.3$88.4+19%
2025$88.4$85.5-3.2%
2026 YTD$85.5$92.3+7.9%

SKY has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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