SKIN

SkinHealth Systems Inc.

60
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

SKIN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has a slight edge over SKIN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

SKIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

SKIN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

SKIN PE Valuation

SKIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SKIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SKIN's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SKIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+90%$30.34
Downside-47%$8.39

Calculated from the latest close: $15.96 on Nov 12.

SKIN trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SKIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SKIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-15.20Q1 2025: $-7.86Q2 2025: $-5.26Q3 2025: $-4.06Q4 2025: $-3.20Q1 2026: $-2.60Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $-1.94
Q4 2023: $-15.20Q1 2025: $-7.86Q2 2025: $-5.26Q3 2025: $-4.06Q4 2025: $-3.20Q1 2026: $-2.60Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $-1.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.94+$2.12
Q2 2026-$3.60+$1.66
Q1 2026-$2.60+$5.26

SKIN is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.94 per share over the past year, against $99.60 at its worst in early 2022.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over SKIN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

SKIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$69.2M-2.1%
Q2 2026$72.1M-7.8%
Q1 2026$64.9M-6.7%
Q4 2025$82.4M-1.3%
Q3 2025$70.7M-10%
Q2 2025$78.2M-14%
Q1 2025$69.6M-15%
Q4 2024$83.5M-14%

SKIN's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $69M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over SKIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SKIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.2M+16%
Q2 2026$2.2M-77%
Q1 2026-$5.8M-296%
Q4 2025$15.1M-8.2%
Q3 2025$9.6M-6.7%
Q2 2025$9.6M+63%
Q1 2025$3M+$20.1M
Q4 2024$16.4M+$21.6M

SKIN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $23M over the past year.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over SKIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SKIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 7M
Q4 2023: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+30.3K shares
1 year+2.6%+166K shares
3 years-1.9%-126K shares
5 years+1032%+5.9M shares

SKIN has 7M diluted shares, up 2.6% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over SKIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SKIN Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -7,050.7xQ1 2026: -21.9xQ2 2026: -13.5xQ3 2026: -4.8x
Q4 2025: -7,050.7xQ1 2026: -21.9xQ2 2026: -13.5xQ3 2026: -4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-13.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-21.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7,050.7xNet Cash

SKIN has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SKIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic58.5Neutral

SKIN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

SKIN PE vs Healthcare Sector

SKIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SKIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.528% above
20 week MA$13.617% above
50 week MA$18.112% below
100 week MA$25.237% below
200 week MA$64.375% below

SKIN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 75% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over SKIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SKIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$204.2$223.0+9.2%
2021$223.0$463.0+108%
2022$463.0$180.8-61%
2023$180.8$62.2-66%
2024$62.2$32.4-48%
2025$32.4$29.2-9.9%
2026 YTD$29.2$16.0-45%

SKIN has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 45% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over SKIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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